FNUS75 KGJT 022349
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEY PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
449 PM MST WED DEC 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON DECEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRUSH WESTERN COLORADO ON THURSDAY
BRINGING MORE COLD AIR AND ANOTHER SHOT OF MOISTURE OVER THE BURN
SITE. THEREFORE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
DAY. DUE TO THE BETTER MIXING AND THE SHOWERS...SMOKE DISPERSAL
WILL IMPROVE INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....8-13 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH UNTIL NOON...
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL NOON...THEN IMPROVING TO GOOD DURING
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 12 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....5 BELOW TO ZERO F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 4300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO LESS THAN 1000 FEET SOON AFTER
                    SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...NICK COLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091203.PINEY.01/GJT