FNUS75 KBOU 080442 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CUB CREEK UNIT 6...CSFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 938 PM MST MON DEC 7 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A FAST MOVING WINTER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF SNOW ON TUESDAY...WITH THE MOST STEADY AND HEAVIEST SNOWFALL EXPECTED IN THE MORNING. THE SNOW WILL HELP SMOKE DISPERSION DESPITE THE LIMITED MIXING HEIGHTS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COLD THROUGH THE PERIOD. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....13. MIN HUMIDITY........87%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....-3. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....22. MIN HUMIDITY........54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST 20-30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40-60 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 53-64 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CUB CREEK UNIT 6. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/08-04 100 90 4 100 CALM 1 793 S 8 5475 P 12/08-05 100 90 4 100 CALM 1 2 1 SW63 897 S 8 6129 P 12/08-06 100 90 5 100 E 2 1 1109 S 8 8248 P 12/08-07 100 90 6 100 E 3 1 1321 SW 9 10368 P 12/08-08 100 90 8 100 NE 5 5 2 1 W28 1533 SW 9 12487 P 12/08-09 100 90 9 100 NE 6 1 1764 W 10 17102 P 12/08-10 100 90 10 100 NE 7 1 1995 W 13 21718 P 12/08-11 100 90 11 100 NE 7 7 2 1 W43 2226 NW 14 26333 P 12/08-12 100 90 11 99 N 7 1 2179 NW 17 32777 P 12/08-13 100 90 12 94 N 6 1 2132 NW 22 39220 P 12/08-14 100 90 13 87 N 6 6 2 1 W51 2085 NW 25 45664 F 12/08-15 100 90 11 89 N 6 1 1842 NW 23 38168 P 12/08-16 100 90 9 89 N 7 1 1599 NW 22 30671 P 12/08-17 99 40 8 90 N 7 7 2 1 W68 1356 NW 20 23175 P 12/08-18 99 40 6 96 NW 5 1 979 NW 12 10129 P 12/08-19 99 40 5 98 SW 3 1 902 NW 12 9376 P 12/08-20 99 40 4 100 S 5 5 2 1 W70 826 NW 12 8622 P 12/08-21 99 40 3 100 SW 6 1 680 W 13 7512 P 12/08-22 99 40 3 100 SW 8 1 535 W 15 6402 P 12/08-23 75 10 2 100 W 10 10 2 1 W69 390 W 16 5292 P 12/09-00 75 10 2 100 W 12 1 332 W 17 4871 P 12/09-01 75 10 1 100 W 14 1 274 W 20 4451 P 12/09-02 75 10 0 100 W 15 24 2 1 W66 216 W 22 4030 P 12/09-03 75 10 0 100 W 17 1 214 W 24 4458 P 12/09-04 75 10 -1 100 W 20 1 212 W 26 4885 P 12/09-05 49 0 -2 100 W 21 33 2 1 W64 210 W 29 5313 P 12/09-06 49 0 -2 100 W 22 1 250 W 31 6944 P 12/09-07 49 0 -2 100 W 22 1 290 W 33 8575 P 12/09-08 49 0 1 100 W 23 37 2 1 W60 330 W 36 10206 P 12/09-09 49 0 6 83 W 24 1 1599 W 44 80725 G 12/09-10 49 0 11 70 W 25 1 2868 W 53 151244 E 12/09-11 49 0 16 61 W 26 43 2 1 W66 4136 W 62 221763 E 12/09-12 49 0 19 57 W 25 1 4060 W 60 211843 E 12/09-13 49 0 20 54 W 25 1 3984 W 59 201924 E 12/09-14 49 0 21 54 W 24 39 3 1 NW61 3907 W 56 192005 E 12/09-15 49 0 20 55 W 25 1 3644 W 58 182057 E 12/09-16 49 0 20 56 W 26 1 3381 W 59 172109 E 12/09-17 45 0 17 62 W 28 44 2 1 W60 3118 W 60 162162 E 12/09-18 45 0 15 69 W 28 1 3097 W 58 155768 E 12/09-19 45 0 14 76 W 26 1 3077 W 56 149374 V 12/09-20 45 0 14 82 W 25 40 2 1 W77 3057 W 54 142981 V 12/09-21 45 0 13 86 W 24 1 3207 W 52 143376 V 12/09-22 45 0 13 90 W 22 1 3358 W 49 143772 V 12/09-23 45 0 12 91 W 21 33 2 1 W94 3508 W 47 144167 V 12/10-00 45 0 11 94 W 20 1 3138 W 47 129642 V 12/10-01 45 0 11 94 W 20 1 2768 W 48 115116 V 12/10-02 45 0 10 95 W 18 30 2 1 W106 2398 W 48 100591 V 12/10-03 45 0 10 93 W 17 1 2156 W 46 86650 G 12/10-04 45 0 9 94 W 17 1 1915 W 43 72709 G 12/10-05 41 0 9 93 W 16 25 2 1 W97 1673 W 40 58768 F 12/10-06 41 0 8 93 W 16 1 1670 W 39 56979 F 12/10-07 41 0 8 91 W 15 1 1668 W 38 55191 F 12/10-08 41 0 10 81 W 15 24 3 1 W92 1665 W 37 53402 F 12/10-09 41 0 15 63 W 14 1 2428 W 38 82860 G 12/10-10 41 0 19 53 W 13 1 3191 W 40 112318 V 12/10-11 41 0 23 46 W 12 12 3 1 W77 3954 W 41 141777 V 12/10-12 41 0 26 42 W 12 1 4264 W 43 156994 E 12/10-13 41 0 27 39 W 10 1 4574 W 44 172211 E 12/10-14 41 0 27 39 W 10 10 2 1 W79 4883 W 44 187429 E 12/10-15 41 0 27 41 W 9 1 4552 W 41 167132 E 12/10-16 41 0 26 45 W 8 1 4221 W 39 146835 V 12/10-17 53 0 22 53 W 6 6 2 1 W77 3890 W 38 126538 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ALLEN GALLAMORE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091208.CUBCR.01/BOU