FNUS75 KBOU 080424 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 921 PM MST MON DEC 7 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A FAST MOVING WINTER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PRODUCE SNOW THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH MORE SHOWERY WEATHER EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE SNOW AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL HELP SMOKE DISPERSION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COLD THROUGH THE PERIOD. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....9. MIN HUMIDITY........75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7-11 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200....THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW UNTIL 2300... THEN SNOW LIKELY AFTER 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....-7. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-21 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 1700. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....10. MIN HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 18-28 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 2. HIGHS AROUND 16. WEST WINDS AROUND 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS AROUND 16. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/08-05 100 100 8 81 S 9 9 3 1 W46 226 S 9 1828 P 12/08-06 100 100 8 84 S 9 1 222 S 9 1860 P 12/08-07 100 100 8 89 S 9 1 219 SW 10 1891 P 12/08-08 100 100 8 93 SW 9 14 3 1 SW37 216 SW 10 1923 P 12/08-09 100 100 8 97 W 9 1 355 SW 14 4862 P 12/08-10 100 100 9 100 W 10 1 494 W 16 7801 P 12/08-11 100 100 9 100 W 10 16 2 1 W36 633 W 20 10740 P 12/08-12 100 100 9 97 W 10 1 1409 W 24 36815 P 12/08-13 100 100 9 91 W 12 1 2185 W 30 62890 G 12/08-14 100 100 9 83 W 12 17 2 1 W56 2961 W 35 88964 G 12/08-15 100 100 8 81 W 12 1 3066 W 36 94855 G 12/08-16 100 100 6 78 W 13 1 3172 W 37 100745 V 12/08-17 100 80 5 75 W 13 20 2 1 W70 3277 W 38 106635 V 12/08-18 100 80 3 81 W 13 1 2406 W 28 58227 F 12/08-19 100 80 1 85 W 14 1 2365 W 29 59609 F 12/08-20 100 80 0 87 W 15 24 2 1 W74 2324 W 30 60991 G 12/08-21 100 80 0 88 W 16 1 2195 W 31 59774 F 12/08-22 100 80 -1 89 W 16 1 2067 W 32 58557 F 12/08-23 100 60 -2 91 W 17 28 2 1 W69 1938 W 35 57339 F 12/09-00 100 60 -2 93 W 17 1 1781 W 33 51721 F 12/09-01 100 60 -3 95 W 18 1 1624 W 32 46103 F 12/09-02 100 60 -4 98 W 18 30 2 1 W78 1467 W 32 40484 F 12/09-03 100 60 -4 100 W 18 1 1623 W 32 45948 F 12/09-04 100 60 -5 100 W 18 1 1779 W 33 51412 F 12/09-05 97 60 -6 100 W 18 30 2 1 W87 1936 W 33 56875 F 12/09-06 97 60 -6 100 W 18 1 2207 W 35 67089 G 12/09-07 97 60 -6 100 W 18 1 2479 W 36 77303 G 12/09-08 97 60 -5 100 W 18 30 2 1 W82 2751 W 37 87517 G 12/09-09 97 60 -1 100 W 21 1 3525 W 43 139106 V 12/09-10 97 60 3 89 W 23 1 4300 W 48 190696 E 12/09-11 97 60 6 81 W 25 40 2 1 W83 5075 W 55 242285 E 12/09-12 97 60 8 74 W 25 1 5071 W 53 231596 E 12/09-13 97 60 9 69 W 25 1 5068 W 51 220908 E 12/09-14 97 60 10 68 W 24 39 2 1 W82 5064 W 48 210219 E 12/09-15 97 60 10 71 W 24 1 5099 W 48 215792 E 12/09-16 97 60 9 78 W 24 1 5135 W 49 221365 E 12/09-17 83 30 7 90 W 24 39 2 1 W82 5170 W 51 226938 E 12/09-18 83 30 6 99 W 24 1 5111 W 51 226606 E 12/09-19 83 30 6 99 W 24 1 5052 W 52 226275 E 12/09-20 83 30 5 100 W 24 39 2 1 W100 4994 W 52 225944 E 12/09-21 83 30 5 100 W 23 1 4972 W 53 227759 E 12/09-22 83 30 5 100 W 23 1 4951 W 53 229575 E 12/09-23 83 30 4 100 W 23 37 2 1 W117 4930 W 54 231391 E 12/10-00 83 30 4 100 W 23 1 4784 W 54 226484 E 12/10-01 83 30 3 99 W 23 1 4639 W 55 221577 E 12/10-02 83 30 3 96 W 23 37 2 1 W129 4493 W 55 216670 E 12/10-03 83 30 3 97 W 23 1 4260 W 54 201493 E 12/10-04 83 30 2 99 W 23 1 4026 W 53 186315 E 12/10-05 68 20 2 100 W 23 37 2 1 W122 3793 W 52 171137 E 12/10-06 68 20 2 100 W 23 1 3656 W 49 159450 E 12/10-07 68 20 2 100 W 23 1 3519 W 48 147763 V 12/10-08 68 20 3 100 W 23 37 2 1 W113 3383 W 46 136076 V 12/10-09 68 20 7 94 W 23 1 3781 W 47 154612 E 12/10-10 68 20 10 82 W 24 1 4180 W 47 173148 E 12/10-11 68 20 13 74 W 24 39 2 1 W104 4578 W 48 191684 E 12/10-12 68 20 14 69 W 24 1 4720 W 48 198551 E 12/10-13 68 20 15 66 W 24 1 4861 W 48 205418 E 12/10-14 68 20 16 66 W 23 37 2 1 W97 5002 W 48 212285 E 12/10-15 68 20 15 67 W 21 1 4900 W 46 196745 E 12/10-16 68 20 15 68 W 18 1 4799 W 44 181205 E 12/10-17 79 20 12 77 W 16 25 2 1 W92 4697 W 40 165665 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SULPHUR RANGER DISTRICT ARAPAHO-ROOSEVELT NF REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091208.VASQU.01/BOU