FNUS75 KBOU 091514 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN RIDGE PILE BURN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 806 AM MST WED DEC 9 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON'S. DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS ALOFT...SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BECOME EXCELLENT BY LATER THIS MORNING. SOME MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE IN THE AREA WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. ACCUMLATIONS WILL BE LIGHT...GENERALLY UNDER 2 INCHES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100. SNOW LIKELY AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....7. MIN HUMIDITY........48-52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10-18 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 12-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4800-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 0500. BLOWING SNOW AFTER 0500. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2000. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 2000 UNTIL 0500...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....-14. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-20 MPH. GUSTS TO 28 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-40 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 400-1400 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 0200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 1100. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....18. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 11-17 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 6 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 18. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR ZERO. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GREEN RIDGE PILE BURN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/09-08 69 40 -9 74 SW 15 24 2 1 W49 1149 W 24 24302 P 12/09-09 69 40 -6 72 SW 16 1 2360 W 28 65632 G 12/09-10 69 40 0 61 W 17 1 3570 W 32 106962 V 12/09-11 84 55 4 55 W 18 30 2 1 W61 4781 W 36 148292 V 12/09-12 84 55 5 51 W 20 1 4865 W 37 154662 E 12/09-13 84 55 6 49 W 20 1 4950 W 38 161031 E 12/09-14 84 55 6 48 W 21 33 2 1 W79 5034 W 38 167400 E 12/09-15 84 55 6 50 W 18 1 4979 W 39 170375 E 12/09-16 84 55 4 54 W 15 1 4923 W 40 173350 E 12/09-17 91 55 3 70 W 13 13 2 1 W90 4868 W 41 176325 E 12/09-18 91 55 1 74 W 16 1 4584 W 41 165499 E 12/09-19 91 55 0 78 W 20 1 4299 W 41 154672 E 12/09-20 91 30 -1 83 W 21 33 2 1 NW94 4014 W 41 143846 V 12/09-21 91 30 -2 88 W 21 1 3557 W 39 123429 V 12/09-22 91 30 -3 93 W 20 1 3099 W 38 103012 V 12/09-23 82 30 -4 98 W 18 30 2 1 W93 2642 W 36 82595 G 12/10-00 82 30 -6 100 W 17 1 2021 W 31 60115 G 12/10-01 82 30 -7 100 W 17 1 1400 W 26 37635 P 12/10-02 82 30 -8 100 W 17 28 2 1 W93 779 W 22 15154 P 12/10-03 82 30 -9 100 W 18 1 636 W 22 12100 P 12/10-04 82 30 -9 100 W 18 1 493 W 21 9046 P 12/10-05 71 10 -10 100 W 18 30 2 1 W94 350 W 20 5992 P 12/10-06 71 10 -11 90 W 16 1 1998 W 30 52713 F 12/10-07 71 10 -11 84 SW 14 1 1868 W 29 47345 F 12/10-08 71 10 -11 73 SW 13 13 2 1 W89 1737 W 28 41976 F 12/10-09 71 10 -7 56 SW 12 1 2629 W 31 76070 G 12/10-10 71 10 1 44 SW 12 1 3521 W 35 110164 V 12/10-11 71 0 13 37 SW 12 12 2 1 W84 4414 W 38 144258 V 12/10-12 71 0 15 34 SW 12 1 4584 W 38 153198 E 12/10-13 71 0 16 33 SW 12 1 4754 W 39 162137 E 12/10-14 71 0 17 34 SW 12 12 2 1 W82 4924 W 40 171077 E 12/10-15 71 0 16 37 W 12 1 4180 W 37 138692 V 12/10-16 71 0 15 41 W 12 1 3437 W 35 106306 V 12/10-17 74 0 10 51 W 12 12 2 1 W79 2693 W 31 73921 G 12/10-18 74 0 7 56 SW 10 1 2049 W 28 53297 F 12/10-19 74 0 5 58 SW 10 1 1406 W 23 32672 P 12/10-20 74 0 4 57 SW 9 9 2 1 NW74 762 SW 18 12048 P 12/10-21 74 0 3 55 S 8 1 648 SW 16 9560 P 12/10-22 74 0 2 53 S 8 1 533 SW 15 7073 P 12/10-23 74 0 2 52 S 7 7 2 1 NW68 419 SW 13 4585 P 12/11-00 74 0 1 52 S 8 1 351 SW 12 3719 P 12/11-01 74 0 -1 52 S 8 1 284 SW 12 2853 P 12/11-02 74 0 -2 52 S 8 8 2 1 NW62 216 SW 10 1986 P 12/11-03 74 0 -3 54 S 9 1 195 SW 10 1810 P 12/11-04 74 0 -4 56 S 9 1 173 SW 10 1633 P 12/11-05 71 0 -4 60 S 9 9 3 1 W56 152 SW 12 1457 P 12/11-06 71 0 -5 66 S 9 1 150 SW 10 1414 P 12/11-07 71 0 -5 74 S 9 1 149 SW 10 1371 P 12/11-08 71 0 -3 75 S 9 9 3 1 W51 148 SW 10 1328 P 12/11-09 71 0 2 64 SW 9 1 415 SW 13 5411 P 12/11-10 71 0 7 57 SW 10 1 682 SW 15 9494 P 12/11-11 71 0 12 51 SW 12 12 3 1 W45 949 SW 16 13577 P 12/11-12 71 0 15 46 SW 13 1 1314 SW 18 22367 P 12/11-13 71 0 16 44 W 14 1 1680 W 21 31156 P 12/11-14 71 0 17 44 W 14 22 3 1 W45 2046 W 23 39945 P 12/11-15 71 0 16 44 W 13 1 1658 W 21 31037 P 12/11-16 71 0 15 47 SW 12 1 1269 SW 20 22130 P 12/11-17 70 10 11 58 SW 10 10 2 1 W46 881 SW 17 13222 P 12/11-18 70 10 9 66 SW 13 1 698 SW 16 10209 P 12/11-19 70 10 7 75 SW 13 1 515 SW 15 7196 P 12/11-20 70 10 6 83 SW 12 12 2 1 W44 333 SW 15 4183 P 12/11-21 70 10 5 91 SW 12 1 318 SW 14 3951 P 12/11-22 70 10 5 100 SW 12 1 303 SW 14 3719 P 12/11-23 70 10 4 100 SW 12 12 2 1 W41 288 SW 14 3487 P 12/12-00 70 10 3 100 SW 12 1 253 SW 14 3028 P 12/12-01 70 10 2 100 SW 12 1 219 SW 14 2569 P 12/12-02 70 10 1 100 SW 12 12 2 1 W43 185 SW 13 2109 P 12/12-03 70 10 0 100 SW 12 1 177 SW 13 1993 P 12/12-04 70 10 0 99 SW 12 1 169 SW 13 1876 P 12/12-05 77 30 -1 99 SW 12 12 2 1 W44 160 SW 13 1760 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091209.GREEN.01/BOU