FNUS75 KBOU 091504 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MOUNT FALCON SLASH PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 757 AM MST WED DEC 9 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW. DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS ALOFT...SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BECOME GOOD BY LATER THIS MORNING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....19. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS TO 22 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2000. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER 2000 UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....-5. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-20 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN EXPOSED AREAS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....28. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MOUNT FALCON SLASH PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/09-07 7 0 -1 64 W 16 1 361 W 18 5805 P 12/09-08 7 0 0 63 W 17 28 2 1 W54 393 W 20 6520 P 12/09-09 7 0 4 60 W 14 1 1819 W 23 46909 F 12/09-10 7 0 10 53 W 12 1 3244 W 28 87298 G 12/09-11 34 10 14 50 W 8 8 2 1 W52 4670 W 31 127687 V 12/09-12 34 10 16 43 W 7 1 4581 W 32 126949 V 12/09-13 34 10 18 38 W 5 1 4493 W 32 126212 V 12/09-14 34 10 18 34 W 3 3 2 1 W58 4405 W 32 125475 V 12/09-15 34 10 17 33 W 7 1 3777 W 36 112907 V 12/09-16 34 10 15 35 W 9 1 3149 W 38 100340 V 12/09-17 51 10 13 37 W 13 13 2 1 W60 2522 W 40 87772 G 12/09-18 51 10 11 43 W 15 1 1807 W 37 61778 G 12/09-19 51 10 8 51 W 17 1 1092 W 33 35783 P 12/09-20 51 0 6 58 W 18 30 2 1 NW74 377 W 30 9788 P 12/09-21 51 0 5 64 W 18 1 347 W 29 8711 P 12/09-22 51 0 5 68 W 16 1 318 W 28 7634 P 12/09-23 41 0 4 72 W 15 24 3 1 NW66 288 W 26 6557 P 12/10-00 41 0 3 75 W 14 1 261 W 25 5781 P 12/10-01 41 0 2 76 W 14 1 235 W 24 5006 P 12/10-02 41 0 2 76 W 14 22 3 1 NW67 209 W 23 4230 P 12/10-03 41 0 2 75 W 15 1 199 W 24 4183 P 12/10-04 41 0 2 74 W 15 1 190 W 25 4137 P 12/10-05 59 0 2 80 W 16 25 3 1 NW79 181 W 26 4090 P 12/10-06 59 0 2 63 W 15 1 1392 W 22 27193 P 12/10-07 59 0 2 63 W 15 1 1183 W 21 21571 P 12/10-08 59 0 3 58 W 14 22 2 1 W81 973 W 18 15948 P 12/10-09 59 0 9 47 W 15 1 2075 W 22 45220 F 12/10-10 59 0 17 39 W 16 1 3177 W 25 74492 G 12/10-11 59 0 23 33 W 17 28 2 1 W75 4278 W 28 103763 V 12/10-12 59 0 25 29 W 17 1 4555 W 29 113985 V 12/10-13 59 0 27 28 W 17 1 4832 W 30 124206 V 12/10-14 59 0 27 27 W 17 28 2 1 W73 5110 W 30 134428 V 12/10-15 59 0 27 27 W 17 1 4386 W 28 107751 V 12/10-16 59 0 26 29 W 16 1 3662 W 24 81074 G 12/10-17 54 0 22 34 W 16 25 2 1 W69 2938 W 22 54397 F 12/10-18 54 0 20 38 W 17 1 2343 W 20 41865 F 12/10-19 54 0 18 43 W 17 1 1748 W 18 29333 P 12/10-20 54 0 18 47 W 17 28 2 1 W64 1153 W 17 16801 P 12/10-21 54 0 17 51 W 18 1 1089 W 17 15941 P 12/10-22 54 0 16 54 W 18 1 1025 W 17 15081 P 12/10-23 54 0 16 56 W 18 30 3 1 NW60 960 W 17 14221 P 12/11-00 54 0 15 56 W 17 1 844 W 16 12223 P 12/11-01 54 0 14 55 W 16 1 727 W 16 10225 P 12/11-02 54 0 13 53 W 16 25 3 1 NW53 611 W 15 8226 P 12/11-03 54 0 13 51 W 15 1 516 W 15 6793 P 12/11-04 54 0 12 50 W 14 1 422 W 14 5360 P 12/11-05 41 0 11 50 W 13 13 3 1 NW45 328 W 14 3927 P 12/11-06 41 0 11 53 W 14 1 286 W 14 3428 P 12/11-07 41 0 11 58 W 14 1 245 W 14 2930 P 12/11-08 41 0 12 57 W 13 13 3 1 W39 204 W 14 2432 P 12/11-09 41 0 18 50 W 10 1 606 W 13 5963 P 12/11-10 41 0 22 44 SW 8 1 1009 W 12 9493 P 12/11-11 41 0 26 39 SW 6 6 4 1 W33 1412 W 10 13024 P 12/11-12 41 0 29 35 SW 5 1 1927 W 12 20082 P 12/11-13 41 0 31 33 SW 3 1 2442 W 13 27140 P 12/11-14 41 0 31 31 SW 3 3 3 1 W36 2957 W 14 34198 P 12/11-15 41 0 31 31 SW 5 1 2358 W 14 27212 P 12/11-16 41 0 30 32 SW 7 1 1760 W 13 20226 P 12/11-17 40 0 26 37 W 9 9 3 1 W37 1162 W 13 13239 P 12/11-18 40 0 24 42 W 9 1 1022 W 13 11715 P 12/11-19 40 0 23 47 W 9 1 883 W 14 10190 P 12/11-20 40 0 22 53 W 10 10 2 1 W36 743 W 14 8666 P 12/11-21 40 0 21 59 W 10 1 757 W 14 9072 P 12/11-22 40 0 21 66 W 10 1 771 W 14 9478 P 12/11-23 40 0 20 75 W 10 10 2 1 W35 785 W 15 9884 P 12/12-00 40 0 19 77 W 10 1 680 W 14 8423 P 12/12-01 40 0 18 79 W 10 1 575 W 14 6962 P 12/12-02 40 0 17 80 W 10 10 2 1 W36 470 W 14 5501 P 12/12-03 40 0 17 79 W 10 1 401 W 13 4571 P 12/12-04 40 0 16 77 W 10 1 331 W 13 3640 P 12/12-05 55 5 16 77 W 10 10 2 1 NW36 261 W 12 2710 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...KEITH BOL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091209.MOUNT.01/BOU