FNUS75 KBOU 101434 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GORE LAKES PILES...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 713 AM MST THU DEC 10 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AND DECREASING SLIGHTLY ON FRIDAY. THIS WEAKENING FLOW ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE LAPSE RATES WILL MAKE SMOKE DISPERSION ON FRIDAY LESS THAN TODAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....17-20. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-21 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....-6. MAX HUMIDITY........85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....17. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. .MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GORE LAKES PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/10-07 66 10 -7 69 W 17 1 782 SW 16 10948 P 12/10-08 66 10 -4 67 W 17 28 2 1 W91 893 SW 16 12445 P 12/10-09 66 10 1 55 W 17 1 1645 SW 17 26238 P 12/10-10 66 10 6 46 W 17 1 2397 W 18 40031 F 12/10-11 66 5 11 39 W 16 25 2 1 W89 3149 W 20 53823 F 12/10-12 66 5 13 36 W 15 1 3213 W 21 58503 F 12/10-13 66 5 15 35 W 13 1 3278 W 22 63183 G 12/10-14 66 5 15 35 W 10 10 2 1 W89 3343 W 23 67863 G 12/10-15 66 5 15 37 W 12 1 2518 W 22 49699 F 12/10-16 66 5 14 39 W 13 1 1692 W 20 31535 P 12/10-17 49 0 9 46 W 14 22 2 1 W92 867 W 17 13371 P 12/10-18 49 0 7 50 W 14 1 699 W 16 10402 P 12/10-19 49 0 5 52 W 14 1 531 W 15 7433 P 12/10-20 49 0 4 51 W 14 22 2 1 W84 363 W 14 4463 P 12/10-21 49 0 3 50 W 13 1 360 SW 14 4158 P 12/10-22 49 0 3 49 W 12 1 358 SW 13 3853 P 12/10-23 49 0 2 48 SW 12 12 2 1 NW78 355 SW 12 3548 P 12/11-00 49 0 1 49 W 12 1 320 SW 12 3211 P 12/11-01 49 0 0 50 W 13 1 284 SW 12 2874 P 12/11-02 49 0 -1 51 W 13 13 2 1 NW64 248 SW 12 2537 P 12/11-03 49 0 -2 53 W 12 1 229 SW 10 2151 P 12/11-04 49 0 -3 56 SW 9 1 211 SW 9 1766 P 12/11-05 71 0 -4 61 SW 8 8 3 1 W59 192 SW 8 1380 P 12/11-06 71 0 -4 73 SW 8 1 192 SW 8 1333 P 12/11-07 71 0 -5 84 SW 8 1 191 SW 8 1271 P 12/11-08 71 0 -3 85 SW 8 8 4 1 W51 189 SW 7 1209 P 12/11-09 71 0 -4 95 SW 8 1 282 SW 8 2227 P 12/11-10 71 0 3 70 SW 8 1 374 SW 9 3245 P 12/11-11 71 0 9 56 SW 8 8 4 1 W43 467 SW 10 4264 P 12/11-12 71 0 13 46 SW 8 1 557 SW 10 5108 P 12/11-13 71 0 16 43 SW 8 1 646 SW 10 5952 P 12/11-14 71 0 17 41 SW 8 8 4 1 W45 736 SW 10 6796 P 12/11-15 71 0 16 44 SW 9 1 574 SW 10 5310 P 12/11-16 71 0 15 47 SW 10 1 412 SW 10 3825 P 12/11-17 87 13 13 53 W 10 10 3 1 W47 249 SW 10 2340 P 12/11-18 87 13 10 60 W 10 1 232 SW 10 2025 P 12/11-19 87 13 9 63 SW 9 1 215 SW 9 1711 P 12/11-20 87 13 8 66 SW 8 8 3 1 W40 198 SW 8 1397 P 12/11-21 87 13 7 70 SW 8 1 209 SW 8 1500 P 12/11-22 87 13 7 73 SW 8 1 220 SW 8 1603 P 12/11-23 87 26 6 78 SW 8 8 3 1 W43 231 SW 8 1705 P 12/12-00 87 26 6 81 SW 8 1 258 SW 9 2033 P 12/12-01 87 26 6 83 SW 9 1 284 SW 9 2361 P 12/12-02 87 26 6 81 SW 9 9 3 1 W40 310 SW 10 2689 P 12/12-03 87 26 6 82 SW 9 1 281 SW 10 2479 P 12/12-04 87 26 6 82 SW 10 1 253 SW 10 2269 P 12/12-05 81 40 5 85 SW 10 10 3 1 SW39 224 SW 10 2058 P 12/12-06 81 40 5 88 SW 12 1 207 SW 12 1959 P 12/12-07 81 40 5 93 SW 12 1 189 SW 12 1860 P 12/12-08 81 40 5 100 SW 13 13 3 1 W26 172 SW 12 1761 P 12/12-09 81 40 6 100 SW 14 1 540 SW 14 7983 P 12/12-10 81 40 12 87 SW 14 1 907 SW 16 14206 P 12/12-11 81 40 16 77 SW 14 21 4 1 W28 1275 SW 18 20428 P 12/12-12 81 40 19 68 SW 15 1 1623 SW 20 28184 P 12/12-13 81 40 21 62 SW 16 1 1971 SW 21 35939 P 12/12-14 81 40 22 59 SW 16 24 3 1 W46 2319 SW 22 43695 F 12/12-15 81 40 21 60 SW 16 1 1908 SW 22 35846 P 12/12-16 81 40 21 60 SW 17 1 1498 SW 22 27997 P 12/12-17 85 50 19 64 SW 17 26 3 1 W49 1087 SW 22 20148 P 12/12-18 85 50 17 68 SW 17 1 852 SW 21 15435 P 12/12-19 85 50 16 70 SW 17 1 617 SW 20 10721 P 12/12-20 85 50 16 72 SW 17 26 3 1 W37 382 SW 18 6007 P 12/12-21 85 50 15 75 SW 17 1 352 SW 18 5583 P 12/12-22 85 50 15 78 SW 17 1 323 SW 18 5158 P 12/12-23 85 50 15 81 SW 17 26 3 1 W52 293 SW 18 4733 P 12/13-00 85 50 14 86 SW 18 1 310 SW 20 5212 P 12/13-01 85 50 14 87 SW 20 1 328 SW 20 5691 P 12/13-02 85 50 15 86 SW 22 33 4 1 W61 345 SW 21 6171 P 12/13-03 85 50 14 86 SW 22 1 356 SW 21 6576 P 12/13-04 85 50 14 85 SW 23 1 367 SW 22 6981 P 12/13-05 90 50 14 85 SW 23 35 4 W54 378 SW 23 7387 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN KINCAID REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091210.GOREL.01/BOU