FNUS75 KBOU 111249 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 550 AM MST FRI DEC 11 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING STABILITY IN THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY WHICH WILL LIMIT THE MIXING DEPTH IN SPITE OF SOME DECENT SURFACE WINDS. OVERALL...SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR UNTIL EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH FAIR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AFTER 1300. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. IT WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT THERE SHOULD BE A DEEPER MIXING LAYER WITH GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AS WELL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-34. MIN HUMIDITY........26-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST 20-30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-21. MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 18-28 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-34. MIN HUMIDITY........28-32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST 23-33 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. BREEZY. WEST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/11-03 18 0 11 54 W 21 1 850 W 22 16526 P 12/11-04 18 0 11 52 W 21 1 839 W 23 17155 P 12/11-05 26 0 12 49 W 33 53 4 1 W55 828 W 24 17784 P 12/11-06 26 0 11 50 W 30 1 758 W 23 15524 P 12/11-07 26 0 12 51 W 28 1 689 W 22 13264 P 12/11-08 26 0 13 50 W 24 39 4 1 W45 619 W 21 11004 P 12/11-09 26 0 18 45 W 22 1 1095 W 20 18518 P 12/11-10 26 0 22 42 W 20 1 1571 W 20 26033 P 12/11-11 66 0 26 39 W 18 30 5 1 W36 2047 W 18 33547 P 12/11-12 66 0 28 37 W 20 1 2312 W 20 38403 P 12/11-13 66 0 30 37 W 21 1 2578 W 20 43259 F 12/11-14 66 0 30 38 W 21 33 3 1 W36 2843 W 20 48115 F 12/11-15 66 0 30 40 W 20 1 2328 W 18 37884 P 12/11-16 66 0 29 42 W 17 1 1813 W 17 27652 P 12/11-17 55 0 26 50 W 15 24 3 1 W35 1299 W 15 17421 P 12/11-18 55 0 24 52 W 15 1 1171 W 16 15839 P 12/11-19 55 0 23 52 W 15 1 1044 W 16 14256 P 12/11-20 55 0 22 52 W 16 25 4 1 W26 917 W 16 12674 P 12/11-21 55 0 21 54 W 16 1 910 W 16 13154 P 12/11-22 55 0 21 57 W 18 1 903 W 17 13634 P 12/11-23 51 0 20 59 W 20 31 4 1 W17 896 W 18 14114 P 12/12-00 51 0 19 62 W 22 1 828 W 18 13498 P 12/12-01 51 0 19 64 W 24 1 761 W 20 12881 P 12/12-02 51 0 18 66 W 25 40 3 1 W21 693 W 21 12264 P 12/12-03 51 0 17 68 W 25 1 626 W 21 11158 P 12/12-04 51 0 17 70 W 25 1 560 W 21 10052 P 12/12-05 68 2 16 72 W 24 39 3 1 W24 493 W 21 8946 P 12/12-06 68 2 16 77 W 24 1 319 W 28 7714 P 12/12-07 68 2 15 81 W 25 1 350 W 29 8864 P 12/12-08 68 2 17 80 W 25 40 3 1 W20 381 W 30 10015 P 12/12-09 68 2 20 71 W 25 1 1144 W 32 35097 P 12/12-10 68 2 25 61 W 24 1 1906 W 35 60178 G 12/12-11 68 2 31 50 W 24 39 3 1 SW18 2669 W 37 85259 G 12/12-12 68 2 32 51 W 25 1 2580 W 38 84090 G 12/12-13 68 2 32 52 W 26 1 2491 W 38 82922 G 12/12-14 68 2 31 54 W 28 44 3 1 W10 2401 W 39 81753 G 12/12-15 68 2 31 54 W 29 1 2040 W 40 71056 G 12/12-16 68 2 27 62 W 30 1 1679 W 41 60358 G 12/12-17 63 1 25 66 W 30 48 4 1 W16 1318 W 44 49660 F 12/12-18 63 1 24 68 W 30 1 1206 W 44 45684 F 12/12-19 63 1 24 66 W 29 1 1095 W 44 41709 F 12/12-20 63 1 24 66 W 28 44 3 1 W22 983 W 44 37733 P 12/12-21 63 1 23 69 W 28 1 858 W 44 32848 P 12/12-22 63 1 23 69 W 28 1 733 W 44 27964 P 12/12-23 63 1 22 72 W 28 44 4 1 W35 608 W 44 23079 P 12/13-00 63 1 22 72 W 29 1 723 W 44 27641 P 12/13-01 63 1 24 67 W 29 1 839 W 44 32204 P 12/13-02 63 1 24 66 W 30 48 4 1 W44 954 W 45 36766 P 12/13-03 63 1 24 67 W 30 1 853 W 44 32585 P 12/13-04 63 1 24 68 W 31 1 753 W 44 28404 P 12/13-05 76 10 22 71 W 31 49 4 1 W48 652 W 43 24223 P 12/13-06 76 10 22 73 W 30 1 556 W 40 19856 P 12/13-07 76 10 21 74 W 29 1 461 W 38 15488 P 12/13-08 76 10 22 72 W 26 43 3 1 W47 365 W 35 11120 P 12/13-09 76 10 26 65 W 25 1 1362 W 38 49880 F 12/13-10 76 10 30 57 W 25 1 2359 W 40 88640 G 12/13-11 76 10 35 49 W 24 39 3 1 W77 3356 W 44 127400 V 12/13-12 76 10 35 49 W 24 1 3765 W 47 156250 E 12/13-13 76 10 35 51 W 24 1 4175 W 51 185099 E 12/13-14 76 10 34 54 W 24 39 3 1 W60 4585 W 54 213949 E 12/13-15 76 10 33 53 W 22 1 3277 W 46 148385 V 12/13-16 76 10 28 65 W 20 1 1970 W 38 82821 G 12/13-17 54 3 25 71 W 18 30 3 1 W56 662 W 30 17257 P 12/13-18 54 3 24 75 W 18 1 763 W 29 19278 P 12/13-19 54 3 24 73 W 20 1 863 W 29 21298 P 12/13-20 54 3 23 73 W 21 33 2 1 W51 963 W 28 23319 P 12/13-21 54 3 22 77 W 22 1 813 W 30 20665 P 12/13-22 54 3 22 77 W 23 1 662 W 32 18010 P 12/13-23 54 3 21 80 W 24 39 2 1 W55 512 W 35 15356 P 12/14-00 54 3 21 80 W 25 1 993 W 38 34776 P 12/14-01 54 3 23 72 W 25 1 1474 W 40 54196 F 12/14-02 54 3 24 69 W 25 40 3 1 NW16 1954 W 44 73616 G 12/14-03 54 3 23 71 W 25 1 1658 W 43 61465 G 12/14-04 54 3 23 72 W 25 1 1361 W 41 49315 F 12/14-05 60 8 21 77 W 24 39 4 W 3 1065 W 40 37164 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DEVIN STEAKLEY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091211.JAMES.01/BOU