FNUS75 KBOU 141149 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHADOW MT VILLAGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 449 AM MST MON DEC 14 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DRY TODAY...HOWEVER THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR A LIGHT SNOW SHOWER...MAINLY THIS MORNING. DUE TO THE STRONG FLOW ALOFT SOME WESTERLY WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT BECAUSE OF THE GUSTY WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100...THEN ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34. MIN HUMIDITY........41-48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....ZERO TO 5 BELOW. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 4-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN VARIABLE 2-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 600-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-40. MIN HUMIDITY........28-36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 2-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHADOW MT VILLAGE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/14-04 92 39 19 100 W 15 1 3991 W 35 120799 V 12/14-05 77 39 19 93 W 14 22 2 1 W52 3640 W 35 110965 V 12/14-06 77 39 19 91 W 13 1 3667 W 35 110628 V 12/14-07 77 39 19 89 W 13 1 3694 W 35 110291 V 12/14-08 77 39 20 85 W 12 12 2 1 W48 3722 W 35 109954 V 12/14-09 77 39 23 72 W 10 1 4304 W 36 132989 V 12/14-10 77 39 28 60 W 9 1 4886 W 37 156024 E 12/14-11 66 21 30 55 W 9 9 2 1 W48 5469 W 38 179059 E 12/14-12 66 21 31 51 W 10 1 5787 W 38 188762 E 12/14-13 66 21 32 48 W 13 1 6105 W 38 198466 E 12/14-14 66 21 32 44 W 14 22 2 1 W47 6424 W 37 208169 E 12/14-15 66 21 32 43 W 14 1 5988 W 36 185426 E 12/14-16 66 21 28 48 W 13 1 5553 W 33 162683 E 12/14-17 44 5 21 61 W 12 12 2 1 W47 5118 W 31 139941 V 12/14-18 44 5 14 86 W 9 1 3859 W 25 98118 G 12/14-19 44 5 10 100 W 7 1 2601 W 18 56295 F 12/14-20 44 5 8 100 NW 5 5 2 1 W45 1342 W 13 14472 P 12/14-21 44 5 7 99 NW 3 1 1291 W 10 12232 P 12/14-22 44 5 6 88 N 2 1 1240 W 9 9991 P 12/14-23 27 1 6 72 N 2 2 2 1 NW41 1189 W 8 7750 P 12/15-00 27 1 7 67 N 2 1 968 W 7 5881 P 12/15-01 27 1 7 66 N 2 1 746 W 6 4012 P 12/15-02 27 1 0 94 N 2 2 2 1 NW48 524 W 5 2143 P 12/15-03 27 1 -1 94 N 2 1 535 W 3 1784 P 12/15-04 27 1 -1 91 N 3 1 546 W 3 1425 P 12/15-05 41 0 2 75 NE 3 3 3 1 NW45 556 W 2 1066 P 12/15-06 41 0 1 74 SW 2 1 523 W 3 1521 P 12/15-07 41 0 0 73 W 3 1 527 W 5 2160 P 12/15-08 41 0 3 69 W 5 5 2 1 W52 532 W 6 2799 P 12/15-09 41 0 12 60 W 6 1 1280 W 12 18869 P 12/15-10 41 0 20 53 W 7 1 2027 W 16 34938 P 12/15-11 55 0 27 40 W 8 8 2 1 W53 2775 W 21 51008 F 12/15-12 55 0 32 33 W 9 1 3291 W 24 71842 G 12/15-13 55 0 34 31 W 10 1 3808 W 28 92677 G 12/15-14 55 0 35 30 W 8 8 2 1 W66 4325 W 30 113511 V 12/15-15 55 0 35 31 W 9 1 3677 W 29 94403 G 12/15-16 55 0 33 33 W 9 1 3028 W 28 75294 G 12/15-17 55 0 28 42 W 10 10 2 1 W60 2380 W 28 56186 F 12/15-18 55 0 25 47 W 9 1 2020 W 23 43274 F 12/15-19 55 0 23 51 W 8 1 1661 W 20 30363 P 12/15-20 55 0 21 54 W 7 7 2 1 W55 1301 W 15 17452 P 12/15-21 55 0 21 55 W 7 1 1225 W 14 15024 P 12/15-22 55 0 20 56 W 6 1 1148 W 13 12596 P 12/15-23 57 0 19 58 W 6 6 2 1 W51 1072 W 10 10168 P 12/16-00 57 0 17 60 W 5 1 959 W 9 7743 P 12/16-01 57 0 16 63 W 3 1 846 SW 7 5318 P 12/16-02 57 0 15 64 W 2 2 2 1 W43 733 SW 5 2893 P 12/16-03 57 0 14 66 NW 2 1 594 W 3 2080 P 12/16-04 57 0 13 68 NW 2 1 455 W 2 1266 P 12/16-05 60 0 12 70 N 3 3 2 1 W39 316 CALM 453 P 12/16-06 60 0 11 73 N 2 1 292 CALM 371 P 12/16-07 60 0 10 75 NE 2 1 269 CALM 289 P 12/16-08 60 0 12 70 NE 2 2 2 1 W37 245 CALM 207 P 12/16-09 60 0 17 57 N 3 1 703 W 6 6724 P 12/16-10 60 0 21 47 NW 5 1 1161 W 9 13241 P 12/16-11 66 0 25 40 W 6 6 2 1 W39 1619 W 14 19758 P 12/16-12 66 0 28 35 W 6 1 1830 W 16 26824 P 12/16-13 66 0 30 34 W 7 1 2041 W 18 33890 P 12/16-14 66 0 30 33 W 7 7 2 1 W31 2251 W 21 40956 F 12/16-15 66 0 30 34 W 7 1 1728 W 17 29479 P 12/16-16 66 0 29 36 W 6 1 1204 W 14 18001 P 12/16-17 53 0 24 43 W 6 6 2 1 W33 681 W 12 6524 P 12/16-18 53 0 22 47 W 5 1 594 W 9 4859 P 12/16-19 53 0 20 50 NW 3 1 507 W 7 3194 P 12/16-20 53 0 19 53 N 3 3 2 1 W38 421 W 5 1529 P 12/16-21 53 0 18 55 N 2 1 436 W 3 1475 P 12/16-22 53 0 17 57 N 2 1 452 W 3 1421 P 12/16-23 53 0 17 59 NE 2 2 2 1 W36 467 W 3 1367 P 12/17-00 53 0 16 61 NE 2 1 437 W 3 1133 P 12/17-01 53 0 14 63 NE 2 1 408 W 2 899 P 12/17-02 53 0 14 64 NE 2 2 2 1 NW25 379 W 2 666 P 12/17-03 53 0 13 66 NE 2 1 327 NW 2 535 P 12/17-04 53 0 12 68 NE 2 1 276 CALM 405 P 12/17-05 60 5 11 70 NE 2 2 2 1 W29 224 CALM 274 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SULPHUR RANGER DISTRICT ARAPAHO-ROOSEVELT NF REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091214.SHADO.01/BOU