FNUS75 KBOU 150203 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR EVERGREEN 6B...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 649 PM MST MON DEC 14 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS EAST OF COLORADO TUESDAY MORNING...WITH A GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN ITS WAKE. THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE STATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL SHOULD BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WEAKER WINDS AND INCREASING SUBSIDENCE ALOFT WILL LIMIT THE SMOKE DISPERSAL TO THE FAIR TO GOOD CATEGORY ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47. MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-17 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...FAIR GOOD 1000-1200...THEN VERY GOOD 1200-1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28. MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 16-24 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47. MIN HUMIDITY........15-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR 1200-1300...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EVERGREEN 6B. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/14-18 28 6 26 41 W 10 1 3741 W 23 74825 G 12/14-19 28 6 25 42 W 12 1 2901 W 22 56125 F 12/14-20 28 6 24 42 W 13 20 2 1 W24 2062 W 21 37424 P 12/14-21 28 6 23 42 W 14 1 1693 W 20 29883 P 12/14-22 28 6 22 42 W 16 1 1323 W 18 22342 P 12/14-23 22 0 21 42 W 17 26 2 1 NW26 954 W 18 14801 P 12/15-00 22 0 20 43 W 17 1 763 W 17 11685 P 12/15-01 22 0 20 44 W 17 1 572 W 17 8569 P 12/15-02 22 0 19 44 W 17 26 2 1 NW47 381 W 16 5453 P 12/15-03 22 0 19 44 W 17 1 323 W 16 4577 P 12/15-04 22 0 18 44 W 16 1 265 W 16 3702 P 12/15-05 25 0 18 45 W 16 24 2 1 NW41 207 W 16 2827 P 12/15-06 25 0 18 48 W 15 1 200 W 15 2587 P 12/15-07 25 0 18 50 W 15 1 193 W 14 2348 P 12/15-08 25 0 20 50 W 14 21 3 1 W47 186 W 13 2108 P 12/15-09 25 0 24 41 W 14 1 1350 W 15 22122 P 12/15-10 25 0 31 31 W 13 1 2513 W 17 42135 F 12/15-11 42 0 38 24 W 13 20 2 1 NW41 3677 W 20 62148 G 12/15-12 42 0 42 21 W 12 1 4496 W 24 102943 V 12/15-13 42 0 45 18 W 12 1 5315 W 30 143737 V 12/15-14 42 0 46 18 W 12 17 2 1 NW52 6134 W 35 184532 E 12/15-15 42 0 46 19 W 13 1 5056 W 32 146408 V 12/15-16 42 0 42 22 W 14 1 3978 W 30 108284 V 12/15-17 45 0 38 27 W 16 24 2 1 NW48 2900 W 28 70160 G 12/15-18 45 0 37 33 W 17 1 1753 W 28 42619 F 12/15-19 45 0 35 35 W 18 1 1322 W 28 31756 P 12/15-20 45 0 34 37 W 20 33 2 1 NW31 890 W 26 20893 P 12/15-21 45 0 33 38 W 20 1 726 W 25 16509 P 12/15-22 45 0 32 38 W 20 1 561 W 24 12125 P 12/15-23 50 0 31 38 W 20 33 3 1 NW21 396 W 23 7741 P 12/16-00 50 0 31 38 W 20 1 340 W 22 6507 P 12/16-01 50 0 30 38 W 21 1 284 W 21 5272 P 12/16-02 50 0 29 38 W 21 36 3 1 W18 227 W 21 4038 P 12/16-03 50 0 29 39 W 20 1 218 W 20 3725 P 12/16-04 50 0 28 39 W 18 1 208 W 18 3411 P 12/16-05 56 0 28 39 W 17 30 3 1 NW17 198 W 18 3098 P 12/16-06 56 0 28 39 W 16 1 212 W 17 3056 P 12/16-07 56 0 28 38 W 16 1 226 W 15 3014 P 12/16-08 56 0 30 35 W 15 25 3 1 NW16 240 W 14 2972 P 12/16-09 56 0 34 30 W 14 1 1134 W 15 15783 P 12/16-10 56 0 40 25 W 12 1 2028 W 16 28595 P 12/16-11 40 0 44 21 W 10 17 3 1 W16 2922 W 16 41407 F 12/16-12 40 0 46 19 W 12 1 3464 W 18 55891 F 12/16-13 40 0 46 18 W 12 1 4007 W 20 70376 G 12/16-14 40 0 46 18 W 13 22 2 1 W16 4549 W 22 84860 G 12/16-15 40 0 45 19 W 16 1 3655 W 26 77022 G 12/16-16 40 0 42 22 W 18 1 2761 NW 32 69185 G 12/16-17 33 0 39 25 W 22 37 2 1 W16 1867 NW 38 61347 G 12/16-18 33 0 36 27 W 21 1 1382 NW 35 44191 F 12/16-19 33 0 34 30 W 21 1 898 NW 31 27034 P 12/16-20 33 0 32 32 W 20 33 3 1 W18 414 NW 28 9878 P 12/16-21 33 0 31 33 W 18 1 344 W 24 7679 P 12/16-22 33 0 30 35 W 17 1 274 W 22 5480 P 12/16-23 33 0 30 36 W 16 28 3 1 W17 204 W 18 3281 P 12/17-00 33 0 29 37 W 16 1 189 W 17 2879 P 12/17-01 33 0 28 38 W 15 1 175 W 16 2477 P 12/17-02 33 0 28 39 W 15 25 2 1 W13 161 W 15 2075 P 12/17-03 33 0 27 40 W 14 1 165 W 15 2055 P 12/17-04 33 0 26 41 W 14 1 168 W 14 2035 P 12/17-05 55 5 26 42 W 13 22 2 1 W23 172 W 14 2015 P 12/17-06 55 5 26 43 W 14 1 205 W 15 2787 P 12/17-07 55 5 26 43 W 14 1 237 W 17 3558 P 12/17-08 55 5 27 42 W 15 25 3 1 NW26 270 W 18 4330 P 12/17-09 55 5 30 38 W 15 1 1364 W 20 26882 P 12/17-10 55 5 35 33 W 14 1 2457 NW 22 49434 F 12/17-11 55 5 39 30 W 14 23 3 1 NW33 3551 NW 23 71986 G 12/17-12 55 5 41 28 W 13 1 4397 NW 24 95679 G 12/17-13 55 5 42 26 W 12 1 5244 NW 25 119372 V 12/17-14 55 5 42 26 W 10 17 2 1 NW33 6090 NW 26 143065 V 12/17-15 55 5 41 27 W 9 1 5423 NW 26 124669 V 12/17-16 55 5 38 30 W 8 1 4756 NW 25 106273 V 12/17-17 61 13 35 34 W 7 7 2 1 NW49 4089 NW 24 87877 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091215.EVERG.01/BOU