FNUS75 KBOU 161257 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 555 AM MST WED DEC 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ALONG THE FRONT RANGE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT COUPLED WITH PERIODS OF GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN. MOISTURE STREAMING IN FROM THE WEST AT MOUNTAIN TOP LEVEL WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF CLOUDS OVER AND EAST OF THE FRONT RANGE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THESE GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS MAY BECOME MORE COMMON LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK RELATIVELY DRY UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1400...THEN CLOUDY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....44. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....29. MAX HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 14-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-22 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/16-05 51 0 32 28 W 13 22 2 1 W39 244 W 14 2834 P 12/16-06 51 0 32 28 W 14 1 325 W 15 4327 P 12/16-07 51 0 32 28 W 14 1 406 W 16 5820 P 12/16-08 52 0 32 28 W 15 25 2 1 W39 487 W 17 7313 P 12/16-09 52 0 33 28 W 16 1 1112 W 22 27067 P 12/16-10 52 0 35 28 W 16 1 1738 W 28 46822 F 12/16-11 55 0 37 28 W 17 30 2 1 W30 2363 W 32 66577 G 12/16-12 55 0 39 27 W 20 1 2334 W 33 68414 G 12/16-13 55 0 40 27 W 22 1 2305 W 36 70252 G 12/16-14 84 0 41 26 W 24 41 3 1 NW13 2276 W 37 72089 G 12/16-15 84 0 42 25 W 24 1 2309 W 35 69715 G 12/16-16 84 0 42 23 W 17 1 2342 W 33 67342 G 12/16-17 59 0 43 22 W 24 41 3 1 NW 8 2375 W 31 64968 G 12/16-18 59 0 41 25 W 24 1 2131 W 30 55293 F 12/16-19 59 0 40 29 W 18 1 1887 W 28 45618 F 12/16-20 47 0 39 32 W 22 37 3 1 NW20 1644 W 25 35942 P 12/16-21 47 0 38 31 W 21 1 1444 W 24 30950 P 12/16-22 47 0 37 29 W 23 1 1245 W 24 25958 P 12/16-23 26 0 36 28 W 18 31 3 1 NW30 1046 W 23 20966 P 12/17-00 26 0 36 28 W 15 1 978 W 22 19108 P 12/17-01 26 0 36 29 W 18 1 910 W 22 17249 P 12/17-02 31 0 36 31 W 17 30 4 1 NW44 842 W 21 15391 P 12/17-03 31 0 35 33 W 17 1 721 W 20 12714 P 12/17-04 31 0 34 36 W 16 1 599 W 18 10037 P 12/17-05 58 0 31 43 W 21 33 3 1 NW48 372 W 21 6560 P 12/17-06 58 0 30 39 W 20 1 475 W 20 8246 P 12/17-07 58 0 30 40 W 20 1 578 W 20 9932 P 12/17-08 58 0 30 39 W 18 30 3 1 NW40 681 W 20 11618 P 12/17-09 58 0 33 35 W 17 1 1428 W 21 28539 P 12/17-10 58 0 35 33 W 16 1 2174 W 23 45459 F 12/17-11 75 10 37 32 W 15 24 3 1 NW35 2920 W 24 62380 G 12/17-12 75 10 38 32 W 14 1 3533 W 24 72470 G 12/17-13 75 10 39 32 W 13 1 4145 NW 23 82560 G 12/17-14 75 10 39 33 W 13 13 2 1 W43 4758 NW 22 92650 G 12/17-15 75 10 39 33 W 13 1 3940 W 22 75754 G 12/17-16 75 10 38 33 W 14 1 3123 W 22 58857 F 12/17-17 73 20 34 36 W 14 22 2 1 NW46 2305 W 21 41960 F 12/17-18 73 20 32 39 W 13 1 1909 W 17 31138 P 12/17-19 73 20 31 41 W 10 1 1513 W 14 20316 P 12/17-20 73 20 30 42 W 9 9 2 1 NW49 1117 W 9 9493 P 12/17-21 73 20 29 43 W 9 1 1022 W 10 8763 P 12/17-22 73 20 29 43 W 9 1 927 W 10 8033 P 12/17-23 73 20 28 43 W 10 10 2 1 NW53 831 W 10 7303 P 12/18-00 73 20 27 44 W 10 1 726 W 10 6343 P 12/18-01 73 20 26 45 W 10 1 620 W 10 5383 P 12/18-02 73 20 26 46 W 10 10 2 1 NW52 514 W 10 4423 P 12/18-03 73 20 25 47 W 10 1 462 W 9 3927 P 12/18-04 73 20 24 48 W 9 1 409 W 9 3431 P 12/18-05 64 10 24 49 W 9 9 2 1 NW49 357 W 9 2934 P 12/18-06 64 10 23 49 W 9 1 349 W 9 2754 P 12/18-07 64 10 22 50 W 8 1 342 W 9 2574 P 12/18-08 64 10 23 49 W 7 7 2 1 NW44 334 W 8 2394 P 12/18-09 64 10 25 46 W 6 1 1311 W 8 9470 P 12/18-10 64 10 27 44 W 3 1 2289 NW 8 16545 P 12/18-11 52 10 29 42 W 2 2 2 1 NW36 3266 NW 8 23621 P 12/18-12 52 10 30 38 W 2 1 3749 NW 9 29328 P 12/18-13 52 10 31 37 SW 3 1 4232 NW 9 35035 P 12/18-14 52 10 31 42 S 3 3 2 1 NW31 4716 NW 10 40742 F 12/18-15 52 10 31 42 SW 3 1 3691 W 8 29963 P 12/18-16 52 10 30 43 SW 2 1 2666 W 7 19183 P 12/18-17 32 3 27 48 W 2 2 2 1 NW25 1641 W 6 8403 P 12/18-18 32 3 26 50 W 2 1 1218 W 6 6129 P 12/18-19 32 3 25 52 W 3 1 794 W 6 3854 P 12/18-20 32 3 24 54 W 5 5 2 1 N20 371 W 5 1580 P 12/18-21 32 3 23 55 W 6 1 347 W 6 1710 P 12/18-22 32 3 23 55 W 7 1 322 W 7 1840 P 12/18-23 32 3 23 55 W 8 8 3 1 NW14 298 W 8 1970 P 12/19-00 32 3 22 57 W 9 1 271 W 8 1976 P 12/19-01 32 3 21 57 W 9 1 245 W 9 1982 P 12/19-02 32 3 21 58 W 10 10 4 1 NW15 218 W 10 1988 P 12/19-03 32 3 20 59 W 10 1 208 W 12 1988 P 12/19-04 32 3 20 60 W 12 1 198 W 12 1987 P 12/19-05 56 5 19 60 W 12 12 4 1 NW23 188 W 13 1987 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DEVIN STEAKLEY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091215.JAMES.02/BOU