FNUS75 KBOU 151534 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RMNP ELK SURVEY...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 832 AM MST TUE DEC 15 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WESTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY AS ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS ACROSS COLORADO. GUSTY WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS WELL THROUGH THE DAY AS THE FLOW STRENGTHENS. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO DEVELOP TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RELATIVELY MILD AS WARMER AIR PUSHES ACROSS THE ROCKIES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-33. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 15-25 MPH...WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 0300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15. MAX HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST 21-30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 16-22 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMNP ELK SURVEY. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/15-08 59 2 8 55 W 17 31 3 1 NW54 399 W 20 6884 P 12/15-09 59 2 13 46 W 16 1 985 W 22 20885 P 12/15-10 59 2 19 36 W 16 1 1571 W 24 34886 P 12/15-11 57 0 25 29 W 16 29 3 1 W60 2157 W 26 48887 F 12/15-12 57 0 27 26 W 17 1 2860 W 32 87248 G 12/15-13 57 0 28 26 W 18 1 3564 W 38 125608 V 12/15-14 50 0 28 25 W 20 36 3 1 NW59 4267 W 44 163968 E 12/15-15 50 0 29 25 W 22 1 3722 W 44 141875 V 12/15-16 50 0 27 26 W 24 1 3177 W 44 119782 V 12/15-17 51 0 25 27 W 26 47 4 1 W56 2632 W 43 97688 G 12/15-18 51 0 24 28 W 26 1 2095 W 39 72270 G 12/15-19 51 0 22 29 W 28 1 1772 W 36 56622 F 12/15-20 27 0 21 30 W 28 49 4 1 W43 1449 W 32 40974 F 12/15-21 27 0 20 32 W 28 1 1318 W 31 36137 P 12/15-22 27 0 18 34 W 26 1 1186 W 30 31300 P 12/15-23 51 0 18 36 W 26 47 3 1 W35 1055 W 29 26463 P 12/16-00 51 0 17 37 W 25 1 949 W 29 23612 P 12/16-01 51 0 18 36 W 24 1 842 W 29 20760 P 12/16-02 67 0 18 36 W 23 41 3 1 W35 735 W 28 17909 P 12/16-03 67 0 19 35 W 24 1 650 W 25 14718 P 12/16-04 67 0 19 34 W 24 1 565 W 23 11527 P 12/16-05 82 0 17 39 W 24 44 3 1 W33 416 W 20 7169 P 12/16-06 82 0 16 39 W 21 1 414 W 18 6698 P 12/16-07 82 0 16 39 W 18 1 411 W 17 6227 P 12/16-08 82 0 17 37 W 17 28 4 1 W28 409 W 16 5756 P 12/16-09 82 0 21 32 W 17 1 1056 W 20 20568 P 12/16-10 82 0 24 29 W 18 1 1703 W 22 35380 P 12/16-11 65 0 28 27 W 20 31 4 1 W24 2350 W 24 50192 F 12/16-12 65 0 30 25 W 20 1 2689 W 24 56533 F 12/16-13 65 0 31 25 W 18 1 3027 W 24 62874 G 12/16-14 65 0 31 25 W 18 30 4 1 W24 3366 W 24 69214 G 12/16-15 65 0 31 26 W 18 1 2989 W 24 62099 G 12/16-16 65 0 30 27 W 20 1 2612 W 24 54983 F 12/16-17 54 0 26 32 W 20 31 4 1 NW28 2236 W 24 47868 F 12/16-18 54 0 25 35 W 18 1 1943 W 22 38834 P 12/16-19 54 0 24 39 W 17 1 1650 W 20 29801 P 12/16-20 54 0 23 43 W 16 25 4 1 NW26 1357 W 17 20768 P 12/16-21 54 0 22 46 W 16 1 1251 W 17 18796 P 12/16-22 54 0 22 48 W 16 1 1144 W 17 16823 P 12/16-23 54 0 21 50 W 16 25 4 1 NW29 1037 W 16 14851 P 12/17-00 54 0 20 52 W 15 1 835 W 15 11375 P 12/17-01 54 0 19 54 W 14 1 634 W 14 7899 P 12/17-02 54 0 19 55 W 13 13 4 1 W33 432 W 12 4423 P 12/17-03 54 0 18 57 W 12 1 364 W 12 3598 P 12/17-04 54 0 17 59 W 12 1 296 W 10 2772 P 12/17-05 60 20 17 60 W 12 12 4 1 W41 228 W 10 1947 P 12/17-06 60 20 16 59 W 14 1 232 W 12 2354 P 12/17-07 60 20 16 57 W 16 1 236 W 14 2760 P 12/17-08 60 20 17 53 W 18 30 4 1 W45 241 W 15 3167 P 12/17-09 60 20 20 46 W 21 1 937 W 21 23664 P 12/17-10 60 20 22 41 W 22 1 1633 W 26 44162 F 12/17-11 60 20 25 38 W 23 37 4 1 W48 2328 W 32 64660 G 12/17-12 60 20 26 36 W 23 1 2829 W 32 79985 G 12/17-13 60 20 27 36 W 22 1 3329 W 33 95311 G 12/17-14 60 20 27 36 W 21 33 3 1 NW61 3829 W 33 110636 V 12/17-15 60 20 27 37 W 21 1 3212 W 31 89356 G 12/17-16 60 20 26 38 W 21 1 2595 W 29 68075 G 12/17-17 81 30 21 45 W 21 33 3 1 NW71 1977 W 28 46795 F 12/17-18 81 30 18 46 W 20 1 1527 W 24 34558 P 12/17-19 81 30 17 49 W 20 1 1076 W 22 22320 P 12/17-20 81 30 16 51 W 18 30 3 1 NW74 625 W 18 10083 P 12/17-21 81 30 15 52 W 17 1 559 W 17 8542 P 12/17-22 81 30 14 53 W 17 1 494 W 16 7001 P 12/17-23 81 30 13 53 W 16 25 3 1 NW67 429 W 15 5460 P 12/18-00 81 30 12 54 W 15 1 388 W 14 4746 P 12/18-01 81 30 11 56 W 15 1 347 W 13 4033 P 12/18-02 81 30 10 57 W 14 22 3 1 NW61 306 W 13 3319 P 12/18-03 81 30 9 57 W 14 1 283 W 12 2972 P 12/18-04 81 30 8 58 W 13 1 261 W 12 2624 P 12/18-05 82 28 8 57 W 13 13 4 1 NW55 238 W 12 2277 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20091215.RMNPE.01/BOU