FNUS75 KGJT 150604
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR VAIL EAST...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1104 PM MST MON DEC 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON DECEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG SURFACE BASED INVERSION THAT SETS UP
OVER NIGHT...WILL LIFT ENOUGH EACH DAY FOR AT LEAST FAIR SMOKE
DISPERSAL DURING THE AFTERNOONS WHEN COMBINED WITH A WESTERLY
GRADIENT WIND.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO FAIR
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). HIGH CLOUDS
                    INCREASING OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-17 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THEN 5000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...NICK COLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091215.VAILE.01/GJT