FNUS75 KGJT 160418
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR VAIL EAST...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
918 PM MST TUE DEC 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON DECEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL PASS OVER
THE BURN SITE TODAY. THIS WILL BRING A BLANKET OF HIGH CLOUDS OVER
THE REGION WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS
ON THURSDAY WITH WEAK WINDS ALOFT. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
ARRIVES ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-36 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    WINDS BECOMING WEST 2-6 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 30000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1100...
                    THEN BECOMING GOOD BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....8-13 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 0-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LOWERING TO LESS THAN 10000
                    KNOT-FT) BY 1900.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL BY 1900.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-36 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1100
                    ...THEN WINDS BECOMING WEST 2-6 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 20000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...NICK COLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091216.VAILE.01/GJT