FNUS75 KBOU 191151 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 451 AM MST SAT DEC 19 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BE BUILDING OVER THE AREA WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH SUNDAY. DRIER AND WARMER AIR WILL BE OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY WITH GUSTY WESTERLY 20-FOOT WINDS. ONLY CLOUD COVER WILL BE HIGH CIRRUS. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE POOR TODAY AS AN INVERSION IS FORMED BY THE WARMER AIR FROM THE UPPER HIGH. WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS WITH A LEE TROUGH FORMING. A WEAK DISTURBANCE SUNDAY WILL IMPROVE DISPERSION SLIGHTLY IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 7-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....25. MAX HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....42. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. BREEZY. WEST WINDS AROUND 27 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/19-03 36 0 17 58 W 8 1 195 W 13 2108 P 12/19-04 36 0 16 57 W 8 1 186 W 13 2092 P 12/19-05 30 0 18 57 W 10 13 5 1 N38 176 W 14 2076 P 12/19-06 30 0 18 51 W 10 1 200 W 13 2249 P 12/19-07 30 0 18 49 W 9 1 224 W 13 2422 P 12/19-08 30 0 19 46 W 9 13 5 1 N33 248 W 12 2594 P 12/19-09 30 0 22 42 W 8 1 628 W 12 6087 P 12/19-10 30 0 27 35 W 7 1 1009 W 12 9579 P 12/19-11 38 0 31 31 W 6 9 4 1 N35 1390 W 10 13072 P 12/19-12 38 0 33 29 W 8 1 1568 NW 13 18270 P 12/19-13 38 0 35 28 W 10 1 1746 NW 15 23469 P 12/19-14 38 0 38 28 W 11 18 4 1 N36 1924 NW 17 28668 P 12/19-15 38 0 35 29 W 11 1 1712 NW 20 27658 P 12/19-16 38 0 34 30 W 10 1 1500 W 21 26647 P 12/19-17 47 0 32 32 W 13 25 5 1 N32 1288 W 23 25637 P 12/19-18 47 0 31 33 W 14 1 1025 W 23 20634 P 12/19-19 47 0 29 35 W 15 1 761 W 24 15631 P 12/19-20 47 0 28 36 W 17 28 5 1 NW30 498 W 24 10628 P 12/19-21 47 0 28 37 W 18 1 440 W 23 9114 P 12/19-22 47 0 28 38 W 18 1 382 W 23 7600 P 12/19-23 47 0 27 38 W 21 32 4 1 NW39 324 W 22 6085 P 12/20-00 47 0 27 38 W 23 1 324 W 23 6398 P 12/20-01 47 0 27 39 W 24 1 324 W 24 6710 P 12/20-02 47 0 27 39 W 25 35 3 1 NW53 324 W 25 7022 P 12/20-03 47 0 27 38 W 24 1 308 W 22 5941 P 12/20-04 47 0 27 38 W 24 1 292 W 18 4860 P 12/20-05 43 0 27 38 W 22 33 2 1 N35 420 W 24 8732 P 12/20-06 43 0 27 38 W 20 1 435 W 21 7966 P 12/20-07 43 0 27 38 W 17 1 450 W 18 7200 P 12/20-08 43 0 27 38 W 16 24 2 1 NW23 465 W 16 6433 P 12/20-09 43 0 30 36 W 14 1 1187 W 17 20062 P 12/20-10 43 0 34 33 W 13 1 1909 W 20 33691 P 12/20-11 43 0 37 30 W 13 20 2 1 NW23 2631 NW 21 47319 F 12/20-12 43 0 39 29 W 13 1 2749 NW 22 52697 F 12/20-13 43 0 41 28 W 13 1 2867 NW 23 58074 F 12/20-14 43 0 41 28 W 14 21 3 1 NW20 2986 NW 24 63451 G 12/20-15 43 0 41 29 W 14 1 2471 NW 23 50341 F 12/20-16 43 0 39 31 W 15 1 1956 W 21 37231 P 12/20-17 43 0 38 33 W 15 23 3 1 NW24 1441 W 20 24122 P 12/20-18 43 0 36 35 W 15 1 1123 W 18 18415 P 12/20-19 43 0 35 37 W 16 1 805 W 17 12709 P 12/20-20 43 0 34 39 W 16 24 3 1 W35 487 W 16 7003 P 12/20-21 43 0 33 40 W 17 1 409 W 18 6223 P 12/20-22 43 0 32 40 W 17 1 331 W 20 5443 P 12/20-23 43 0 32 40 W 18 28 3 1 NW24 253 W 21 4663 P 12/21-00 43 0 31 41 W 20 1 236 W 22 4486 P 12/21-01 43 0 31 41 W 21 1 219 W 23 4309 P 12/21-02 43 0 30 41 W 22 33 4 1 SW25 202 W 23 4131 P 12/21-03 43 0 30 40 W 23 1 234 W 24 5072 P 12/21-04 43 0 30 40 W 24 1 266 W 25 6013 P 12/21-05 57 0 30 39 W 25 38 2 1 W43 298 W 26 6953 P 12/21-06 57 0 30 39 W 26 1 420 W 36 14736 P 12/21-07 57 0 30 38 W 26 1 543 W 44 22518 P 12/21-08 57 0 30 36 W 28 41 3 1 W35 665 W 53 30300 P 12/21-09 57 0 32 33 W 28 1 1454 W 53 67223 G 12/21-10 57 0 36 28 W 29 1 2242 W 53 104146 V 12/21-11 57 0 38 26 W 29 44 3 1 W52 3031 W 54 141069 V 12/21-12 57 0 40 24 W 30 1 3221 W 53 148713 V 12/21-13 57 0 41 23 W 30 1 3411 W 53 156356 E 12/21-14 57 0 41 23 W 31 46 4 1 W55 3601 W 53 163999 E 12/21-15 57 0 41 24 W 31 1 3244 W 49 140230 V 12/21-16 57 0 40 26 W 31 1 2887 W 46 116460 V 12/21-17 71 0 38 28 W 31 47 3 1 W52 2530 W 43 92690 G 12/21-18 71 0 36 30 W 30 1 2185 W 40 76901 G 12/21-19 71 0 35 32 W 29 1 1840 W 37 61111 G 12/21-20 71 0 33 35 W 28 41 4 1 NW43 1495 W 35 45321 F 12/21-21 71 0 32 37 W 25 1 1239 W 33 36332 P 12/21-22 71 0 31 38 W 24 1 983 W 31 27343 P 12/21-23 71 0 30 39 W 22 33 4 1 NW23 728 W 29 18354 P 12/22-00 71 0 29 41 W 21 1 584 W 25 13786 P 12/22-01 71 0 28 43 W 18 1 441 W 22 9218 P 12/22-02 71 0 28 45 W 17 26 4 1 W26 298 W 18 4650 P 12/22-03 71 0 27 46 W 16 1 262 W 17 3894 P 12/22-04 71 0 27 47 W 14 1 226 W 16 3137 P 12/22-05 74 20 27 48 W 13 20 4 1 W26 190 W 15 2380 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091219.JAMES.01/BOU