FNUS72 KJAX 281313
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMAS CREEK...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
813 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON DECEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR EXTENDED
DURATIONS OF LOW RHS...

.DISCUSSION...A REINFORCEMENT OF COLD AND DRY AIR WILL PUSH THROUGH
THE AREA THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY INCREASING WEST AND NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EXPECTED. RH VALUES
MAY NEAR CRITICAL VALUES BRIEFLY BUT RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY BUT
WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH. SUB-CRITICAL RH VALUES FOR
EXTENDED DURATIONS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE INLAND NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AREA AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........45     31     15     15     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     54     56     56     52
RH..............68     52     43     39     54
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 15   W 16   W 16   W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.25     30     35     30     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   2200   3500   3500   3300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 22   W 22   W 25   NW 25  NW 23

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........13     10     12     12     13     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     40     37     35     33     32
RH..............54     66     69     68     68     70
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 7    W 8    NW 8   NW 7   NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   800    600    600    400    600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 23  NW 17  NW 13  NW 13  NW 9   NW 13

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...PAT DEREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091228.THOMA.01/JAX