FNUS75 KBOU 290402 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 930 PM MST MON DEC 28 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS COLORADO TUESDAY AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. ABUNDANT MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL KEEP SMOKE DISPERSION LIMITED...BUT ENOUGH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT COULD BRING FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION FOR A COUPLE HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON. WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER BY WEDNESDAY...AND THIS SHOULD PROMOTE SOMEWHAT BETTER SMOKE DISPERSION. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW THEN AS WELL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15. MAX HUMIDITY........91%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....26. MIN HUMIDITY........76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN 7-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .NEW YEARS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/29-05 75 0 18 65 W 8 8 4 1 S24 150 W 8 1022 P 12/29-06 75 0 18 66 W 8 1 151 W 8 991 P 12/29-07 75 0 17 69 W 7 1 151 W 7 961 P 12/29-08 75 0 18 72 W 6 6 2 1 S18 152 W 7 930 P 12/29-09 75 0 21 69 W 6 1 615 W 10 7771 P 12/29-10 75 0 26 63 W 5 1 904 W 13 10351 P 12/29-11 79 4 30 58 W 5 5 2 1 SW14 1193 W 13 12930 P 12/29-12 79 4 32 57 W 5 1 2082 W 14 26488 P 12/29-13 79 4 33 56 W 5 1 2972 W 15 40047 F 12/29-14 79 4 34 56 W 5 5 3 1 S16 3862 W 16 53605 F 12/29-15 79 4 33 57 W 6 1 3537 W 17 51947 F 12/29-16 79 4 32 60 W 7 1 3213 W 18 50289 F 12/29-17 89 6 29 64 W 9 9 3 1 SW16 2888 W 20 48631 F 12/29-18 89 6 23 83 W 9 1 1531 W 20 24756 P 12/29-19 89 6 22 85 W 13 1 1197 W 21 20493 P 12/29-20 89 6 21 86 W 13 13 3 1 W16 864 W 22 16231 P 12/29-21 89 6 21 86 W 14 1 747 W 23 14488 P 12/29-22 89 6 20 88 W 14 1 629 W 24 12746 P 12/29-23 69 17 19 91 W 15 24 3 1 SW18 512 W 24 11003 P 12/30-00 69 17 18 91 W 15 1 489 W 25 10609 P 12/30-01 69 17 18 90 W 15 1 467 W 25 10214 P 12/30-02 69 17 18 89 W 16 25 3 1 SW17 444 W 25 9820 P 12/30-03 69 17 17 90 W 16 1 476 W 26 10801 P 12/30-04 69 17 16 91 W 16 1 507 W 26 11782 P 12/30-05 85 10 16 86 W 17 28 2 1 NW21 539 W 28 12763 P 12/30-06 85 10 16 85 W 17 1 791 W 30 21634 P 12/30-07 85 10 16 88 W 17 1 1043 W 32 30505 P 12/30-08 85 10 17 85 W 16 25 4 1 NW16 1295 W 35 39375 P 12/30-09 85 10 19 81 W 16 1 1617 W 32 42813 F 12/30-10 85 10 21 79 W 15 1 1940 W 29 46250 F 12/30-11 73 14 23 77 W 15 24 3 1 W12 2262 W 25 49688 F 12/30-12 73 14 25 76 W 13 1 2881 W 21 47683 F 12/30-13 73 14 25 77 W 10 1 3501 W 16 45678 F 12/30-14 73 14 26 77 W 10 10 2 1 W22 4121 W 13 43673 F 12/30-15 73 14 25 77 W 8 1 4042 W 13 45676 F 12/30-16 73 14 24 78 W 5 1 3963 W 14 47680 F 12/30-17 95 42 22 85 CALM 1 2 1 W23 3883 W 15 49683 F 12/30-18 95 42 20 90 CALM 1 3231 W 13 37217 P 12/30-19 95 42 19 94 S 2 1 2578 W 10 24751 P 12/30-20 95 42 18 96 S 2 2 2 1 NW24 1925 W 7 12286 P 12/30-21 95 42 17 95 S 2 1 1570 W 6 8952 P 12/30-22 95 42 16 94 SE 2 1 1216 W 5 5619 P 12/30-23 93 33 16 92 CALM 1 2 1 NW24 861 W 3 2285 P 12/31-00 93 33 15 92 CALM 1 792 W 3 2152 P 12/31-01 93 33 14 92 CALM 1 723 W 3 2019 P 12/31-02 93 33 14 93 CALM 1 2 1 NW20 654 NW 3 1886 P 12/31-03 93 33 13 95 CALM 1 611 NW 5 2221 P 12/31-04 93 33 13 97 S 2 1 569 W 6 2556 P 12/31-05 74 17 13 98 W 2 2 2 1 NW26 526 W 6 2891 P 12/31-06 74 17 13 97 W 6 1 543 W 9 4288 P 12/31-07 74 17 13 95 W 8 1 559 W 12 5685 P 12/31-08 74 17 14 90 W 12 12 2 1 NW26 575 W 14 7082 P 12/31-09 74 17 16 85 W 12 1 1335 W 15 18926 P 12/31-10 74 17 18 83 W 12 1 2096 NW 16 30769 P 12/31-11 33 4 20 81 W 12 12 2 1 NW22 2856 NW 17 42613 F 12/31-12 33 4 21 79 W 9 1 2864 W 17 42245 F 12/31-13 33 4 22 78 W 10 1 2871 W 17 41876 F 12/31-14 33 4 22 77 W 10 10 2 1 NW35 2879 W 16 41508 F 12/31-15 33 4 22 76 W 12 1 2436 W 20 39700 P 12/31-16 33 4 21 77 W 12 1 1993 W 23 37891 P 12/31-17 34 0 19 81 W 12 12 2 1 NW38 1551 W 26 36082 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091229.JAMES.01/BOU