FNUS75 KBOU 300346 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 845 PM MST TUE DEC 29 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW AT BOTH THE SURFACE AND ALOFT AND A DESTABILIZING ATMOSPHERE WILL AID SMOKE DISPERSION WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL ALSO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. ON THURSDAY...THE ATMOSPHERE MAY STABILIZE A BIT BUT ENOUGH WIND CAN STILL BE EXPECTED TO GET SMOKE DISPERSION INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY DURING THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....26. MIN HUMIDITY........71%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHWEST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14-26 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....8. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 7-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....25. MIN HUMIDITY........71%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300... THEN GOOD AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .NEW YEARS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/30-04 83 20 17 95 W 12 1 682 W 25 15077 P 12/30-05 83 13 16 94 W 13 20 3 1 W21 649 W 24 13817 P 12/30-06 83 13 16 92 W 15 1 775 W 24 16431 P 12/30-07 83 13 16 93 W 15 1 900 W 24 19044 P 12/30-08 83 13 17 91 W 14 22 2 1 NW30 1026 W 24 21657 P 12/30-09 83 13 20 81 W 12 1 2097 W 26 51641 F 12/30-10 83 13 23 73 W 12 1 3168 W 29 81626 G 12/30-11 83 22 25 69 W 12 19 2 1 W17 4239 W 30 111610 V 12/30-12 83 22 26 70 W 11 1 4494 W 31 122329 V 12/30-13 83 22 26 72 W 10 1 4750 W 32 133047 V 12/30-14 83 22 26 71 W 9 9 2 1 W31 5005 W 33 143766 V 12/30-15 83 22 26 74 W 7 1 3581 W 25 97849 G 12/30-16 83 22 20 91 NW 6 1 2157 NW 17 51932 F 12/30-17 98 20 16 98 N 4 4 2 1 W33 733 NW 9 6015 P 12/30-18 98 20 15 100 NW 8 1 643 NW 10 5662 P 12/30-19 98 20 14 100 W 11 1 549 W 12 5281 P 12/30-20 98 20 13 100 W 12 12 2 1 NW39 456 W 13 4900 P 12/30-21 98 20 13 100 W 12 1 393 W 13 4177 P 12/30-22 98 20 13 100 W 12 1 330 W 12 3455 P 12/30-23 92 36 13 100 W 12 12 3 1 NW22 268 W 12 2732 P 12/31-00 92 36 12 100 W 10 1 256 W 12 2588 P 12/31-01 92 36 11 100 W 12 1 245 W 12 2444 P 12/31-02 92 36 11 100 W 12 12 3 1 NW24 233 W 12 2300 P 12/31-03 92 36 10 100 W 12 1 228 W 12 2313 P 12/31-04 92 36 10 100 W 10 1 223 W 12 2326 P 12/31-05 57 4 9 100 W 10 10 2 1 NW26 218 W 13 2339 P 12/31-06 57 4 9 100 W 12 1 302 W 14 3726 P 12/31-07 57 4 9 100 W 10 1 387 W 15 5114 P 12/31-08 57 4 11 100 W 10 10 2 1 NW26 472 W 16 6501 P 12/31-09 57 4 14 91 W 10 1 1456 W 15 18773 P 12/31-10 57 4 17 85 W 10 1 2440 NW 15 31045 P 12/31-11 43 3 20 80 W 10 10 2 1 NW24 3424 NW 15 43316 F 12/31-12 43 3 22 75 W 10 1 3848 NW 15 51902 F 12/31-13 43 3 23 73 W 12 1 4272 W 16 60487 G 12/31-14 43 3 24 71 W 12 12 2 1 W18 4696 W 17 69073 G 12/31-15 43 3 24 71 W 12 1 4049 W 20 65348 G 12/31-16 43 3 23 71 W 12 1 3403 W 22 61623 G 12/31-17 49 0 21 74 W 13 22 2 1 NW18 2756 W 24 57898 F 12/31-18 49 0 20 75 W 13 1 2349 W 25 50388 F 12/31-19 49 0 19 74 W 13 1 1942 W 25 42878 F 12/31-20 49 0 18 74 W 13 22 2 1 NW38 1535 W 26 35368 P 12/31-21 49 0 17 73 W 14 1 1410 W 26 32642 P 12/31-22 49 0 17 73 W 15 1 1285 W 26 29916 P 12/31-23 49 0 16 73 W 16 28 3 1 NW53 1159 W 26 27190 P 01/01-00 49 0 16 73 W 16 1 1062 W 26 24757 P 01/01-01 49 0 15 74 W 16 1 965 W 26 22325 P 01/01-02 49 0 15 75 W 16 28 3 1 NW49 869 W 26 19892 P 01/01-03 49 0 14 75 W 17 1 758 W 24 16411 P 01/01-04 49 0 14 76 W 16 1 648 W 22 12929 P 01/01-05 50 0 14 76 W 16 28 2 1 NW58 538 W 21 9448 P 01/01-06 50 0 14 76 W 15 1 589 W 21 10949 P 01/01-07 50 0 14 74 W 14 1 639 W 22 12451 P 01/01-08 50 0 17 69 W 13 22 2 1 NW47 690 W 23 13952 P 01/01-09 50 0 21 62 W 12 1 932 W 22 17593 P 01/01-10 50 0 24 59 W 10 1 1174 W 21 21234 P 01/01-11 50 0 28 55 W 10 10 2 1 NW46 1417 W 21 24874 P 01/01-12 50 0 30 53 W 10 1 1622 W 18 25761 P 01/01-13 50 0 32 52 W 10 1 1827 W 17 26649 P 01/01-14 50 0 33 52 W 10 10 2 1 W43 2032 W 16 27536 P 01/01-15 50 0 32 51 W 10 1 1799 W 16 24536 P 01/01-16 50 0 31 52 W 10 1 1567 W 16 21537 P 01/01-17 62 0 29 56 W 10 10 2 1 W38 1334 W 16 18538 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091230.JAMES.01/BOU