FNUS75 KBOU 031631 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR AERIAL ELK SURVEY...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 930 AM MST SUN JAN 3 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN REGION. THERE WILL BE SOME CLOUDS AND A FEW FLURRIES MAINLY UP ALONG THE DIVIDE AND HIGHER WEST SLOPES. SKIES WILL BE MORE CLOUD FREE ALONG THE EAST SLOPES. BY WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW AND CLODER TEMPERATURES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....13. MAX HUMIDITY........57%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARLTY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE DIVIDE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....27. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH OVER RIDGETOPS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS AROUND 18. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 2. HIGHS AROUND 13. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR AERIAL ELK SURVEY. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/03-08 88 20 16 75 W 9 9 2 1 NW26 936 W 12 9317 P 01/03-09 88 20 19 68 W 9 1 2552 W 12 28447 P 01/03-10 88 20 21 62 W 8 1 4168 NW 13 47577 F 01/03-11 88 20 23 56 W 8 8 2 1 NW26 5784 NW 14 66707 G 01/03-12 88 20 25 52 W 7 1 5982 NW 13 68136 G 01/03-13 88 20 26 50 W 5 1 6179 NW 13 69565 G 01/03-14 88 20 26 49 W 3 3 2 1 NW36 6377 NW 13 70994 G 01/03-15 88 20 26 48 W 3 1 5908 NW 12 60780 G 01/03-16 88 20 25 49 W 3 1 5439 NW 10 50566 F 01/03-17 53 0 22 54 W 5 5 2 1 NW44 4971 NW 9 40353 F 01/03-18 53 0 21 56 W 6 1 4167 W 10 34957 P 01/03-19 53 0 20 57 W 7 1 3364 W 10 29562 P 01/03-20 53 0 19 56 W 7 7 2 1 NW48 2560 W 10 24167 P 01/03-21 53 0 18 56 W 7 1 2296 W 12 22959 P 01/03-22 53 0 17 56 W 7 1 2033 W 13 21752 P 01/03-23 53 0 16 56 W 7 7 2 1 NW52 1769 W 14 20544 P 01/04-00 53 0 16 56 W 8 1 1572 W 14 18770 P 01/04-01 53 0 15 56 W 9 1 1374 W 14 16996 P 01/04-02 53 0 15 56 W 10 10 2 1 NW52 1177 W 15 15222 P 01/04-03 53 0 14 56 W 12 1 1124 W 15 15037 P 01/04-04 53 0 14 56 W 12 1 1072 W 16 14852 P 01/04-05 64 0 14 55 W 12 12 2 1 NW61 1508 W 16 20973 P 01/04-06 64 0 14 50 W 12 1 1590 W 17 23656 P 01/04-07 64 0 14 48 W 10 1 1672 NW 18 26339 P 01/04-08 64 0 16 46 W 10 10 2 1 NW61 1754 NW 20 29023 P 01/04-09 64 0 16 48 W 10 1 2172 NW 21 39035 P 01/04-10 64 0 20 46 W 10 1 2591 NW 22 49048 F 01/04-11 78 0 23 44 W 10 10 2 1 NW52 3010 NW 23 59061 F 01/04-12 78 0 25 43 W 10 1 3244 NW 23 65587 G 01/04-13 78 0 26 41 W 10 1 3478 NW 24 72112 G 01/04-14 78 0 27 41 W 10 10 2 1 NW44 3711 NW 24 78638 G 01/04-15 78 0 26 41 W 10 1 3245 NW 24 69237 G 01/04-16 78 0 25 41 W 10 1 2779 NW 25 59835 F 01/04-17 86 10 24 44 W 10 10 2 1 NW45 2312 NW 25 50434 F 01/04-18 86 10 22 44 W 10 1 1956 NW 23 40199 F 01/04-19 86 10 21 45 W 10 1 1600 W 21 29965 P 01/04-20 86 10 20 45 W 10 17 2 1 NW59 1244 W 18 19730 P 01/04-21 86 10 20 46 W 10 1 1048 W 17 16228 P 01/04-22 86 10 19 46 W 10 1 851 W 17 12727 P 01/04-23 86 10 19 46 W 10 17 2 1 NW58 655 W 16 9225 P 01/05-00 86 10 18 46 W 10 1 573 W 16 8051 P 01/05-01 86 10 18 45 W 10 1 492 W 16 6877 P 01/05-02 86 10 18 44 W 10 17 2 1 NW53 410 W 16 5702 P 01/05-03 86 10 18 42 W 10 1 458 W 17 7161 P 01/05-04 86 10 18 41 W 12 1 505 W 20 8620 P 01/05-05 59 10 17 41 W 12 20 2 1 NW68 553 W 21 10078 P 01/05-06 59 10 17 42 W 12 1 639 W 23 12944 P 01/05-07 59 10 17 43 W 13 1 726 W 24 15809 P 01/05-08 59 10 17 44 W 13 22 2 1 NW51 813 W 26 18675 P 01/05-09 59 10 19 43 W 13 1 1262 W 31 37199 P 01/05-10 59 10 21 40 W 13 1 1712 W 36 55723 F 01/05-11 59 19 24 38 W 13 22 2 1 NW44 2162 W 39 74247 G 01/05-12 59 19 26 37 W 13 1 2333 W 39 78321 G 01/05-13 59 19 27 37 W 13 1 2505 W 38 82394 G 01/05-14 59 19 27 37 W 13 22 2 1 NW58 2676 W 37 86467 G 01/05-15 59 19 27 37 W 13 1 2465 W 36 77387 G 01/05-16 59 19 26 37 W 12 1 2254 W 35 68306 G 01/05-17 82 22 24 38 W 12 20 2 1 NW60 2044 W 33 59225 F 01/05-18 82 22 22 39 W 12 1 1642 W 31 45523 F 01/05-19 82 22 21 41 W 10 1 1241 W 28 31821 P 01/05-20 82 22 19 43 W 10 17 2 1 NW66 840 W 25 18120 P 01/05-21 82 22 18 45 W 10 1 698 W 23 14349 P 01/05-22 82 22 17 47 W 12 1 556 W 21 10578 P 01/05-23 82 22 16 48 W 12 20 2 1 NW59 414 W 18 6808 P 01/06-00 82 22 15 49 W 13 1 371 W 20 6276 P 01/06-01 82 22 15 49 W 15 1 328 W 21 5745 P 01/06-02 82 22 14 48 W 16 28 2 1 NW56 285 W 21 5213 P 01/06-03 82 22 14 48 W 18 1 275 W 22 5194 P 01/06-04 82 22 13 48 W 20 1 265 W 23 5175 P 01/06-05 90 37 13 48 W 20 33 2 1 NW55 255 W 23 5157 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100103.AERIA.01/BOU