FNUS75 KBOU 041247 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 449 AM MST MON JAN 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION. THERE WILL BE VARIABLE MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS MOVING OVER THE REGION...WHILE THE LOWER LEVELS WILL REMAIN DRY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-34. MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-24. MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1700...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38. MIN HUMIDITY........33-38%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS AROUND 20. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 2. HIGHS AROUND 14. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/04-04 42 0 16 59 W 13 1 749 W 12 7480 P 01/04-05 42 0 16 49 W 13 13 2 1 NW61 849 W 12 8723 P 01/04-06 42 0 16 54 W 14 1 929 W 12 9653 P 01/04-07 42 0 16 57 W 14 1 1009 NW 12 10583 P 01/04-08 42 0 18 57 W 14 22 2 1 NW59 1089 NW 13 11513 P 01/04-09 42 0 21 53 W 12 1 1606 NW 15 22346 P 01/04-10 42 0 24 50 W 10 1 2124 NW 17 33178 P 01/04-11 62 0 26 47 W 8 8 2 1 NW46 2641 NW 20 44010 F 01/04-12 62 0 28 44 W 7 1 2675 NW 20 46755 F 01/04-13 62 0 29 42 W 7 1 2708 NW 21 49499 F 01/04-14 62 0 30 42 W 7 7 2 1 NW41 2741 NW 22 52243 F 01/04-15 62 0 30 42 W 8 1 2317 NW 21 42302 F 01/04-16 62 0 29 42 W 9 1 1892 NW 20 32362 P 01/04-17 75 0 27 45 W 12 12 2 1 NW44 1467 NW 17 22421 P 01/04-18 75 0 25 47 W 13 1 1249 NW 16 18147 P 01/04-19 75 0 24 48 W 13 1 1032 W 15 13873 P 01/04-20 75 0 24 49 W 14 22 2 1 NW44 814 W 14 9599 P 01/04-21 75 0 23 49 W 14 1 708 W 14 8278 P 01/04-22 75 0 22 49 W 14 1 602 W 14 6958 P 01/04-23 75 0 22 49 W 14 22 2 1 NW58 495 W 13 5637 P 01/05-00 75 0 21 49 W 14 1 420 W 14 4879 P 01/05-01 75 0 20 49 W 15 1 345 W 14 4122 P 01/05-02 75 0 20 48 W 16 25 2 1 NW55 270 W 14 3364 P 01/05-03 75 0 20 49 W 16 1 259 W 15 3312 P 01/05-04 75 0 19 49 W 17 1 248 W 15 3260 P 01/05-05 58 10 19 51 W 17 28 2 1 NW61 237 W 16 3208 P 01/05-06 58 10 19 65 1 320 W 17 4696 P 01/05-07 58 10 20 66 1 363 W 17 5309 P 01/05-08 58 10 22 63 W 17 30 2 1 NW47 406 W 17 5922 P 01/05-09 58 10 24 59 1 971 W 25 29298 P 01/05-10 58 10 29 51 1 1536 W 33 52673 F 01/05-11 58 16 33 47 W 16 28 2 1 NW36 2100 W 41 76049 G 01/05-12 58 16 35 44 1 2244 W 44 84730 G 01/05-13 58 16 36 44 1 2388 W 45 93411 G 01/05-14 58 16 37 44 W 14 37 3 1 NW46 2532 W 46 102092 V 01/05-15 58 16 36 43 1 2344 W 43 87101 G 01/05-16 58 16 35 43 1 2156 W 38 72111 G 01/05-17 76 20 32 50 W 16 33 3 1 NW41 1969 W 33 57120 F 01/05-18 76 20 30 53 1 1468 W 29 40921 F 01/05-19 76 20 28 58 1 968 W 25 24721 P 01/05-20 76 20 25 64 W 18 25 2 1 NW37 467 W 21 8522 P 01/05-21 76 20 23 68 1 399 W 20 6821 P 01/05-22 76 20 22 71 1 330 W 17 5121 P 01/05-23 76 20 21 73 W 17 20 2 1 NW37 262 W 15 3420 P 01/06-00 76 20 20 75 1 246 W 15 3275 P 01/06-01 76 20 19 76 1 231 W 16 3131 P 01/06-02 76 20 18 77 22 2 1 NW47 215 W 16 2987 P 01/06-03 76 20 18 80 1 247 W 14 2947 P 01/06-04 76 20 17 83 1 278 W 13 2907 P 01/06-05 90 39 17 85 W 6 6 2 1 NW58 309 W 10 2868 P 01/06-06 90 39 17 86 SW 6 1 936 W 13 13363 P 01/06-07 90 39 16 87 S 6 1 1562 W 16 23857 P 01/06-08 90 39 16 88 E 6 6 2 1 W73 2189 W 18 34352 P 01/06-09 90 39 17 89 E 6 1 2662 W 20 47904 F 01/06-10 90 39 19 88 E 7 1 3135 W 22 61457 G 01/06-11 90 43 20 91 E 7 7 2 1 W74 3609 W 24 75009 G 01/06-12 90 43 20 94 E 6 1 3989 W 25 90918 G 01/06-13 90 43 20 95 E 5 1 4370 W 28 106827 V 01/06-14 90 43 20 95 NE 3 3 2 1 W78 4751 W 30 122736 V 01/06-15 90 43 19 94 NE 3 1 4940 W 31 131701 V 01/06-16 90 43 18 96 NE 2 1 5129 NW 31 140665 V 01/06-17 66 19 17 96 NE 2 2 2 1 W81 5319 NW 32 149630 V 01/06-18 66 19 16 94 NE 2 1 01/06-19 66 19 14 94 N 2 1 01/06-20 66 19 12 94 N 2 2 1 01/06-21 66 19 11 93 NW 2 1 01/06-22 66 19 9 92 W 2 1 01/06-23 66 14 8 90 W 3 3 01/07-00 66 14 7 92 W 6 01/07-01 66 14 6 94 W 7 01/07-02 66 14 5 95 W 8 8 01/07-03 66 14 5 95 W 9 01/07-04 66 14 4 96 W 12 01/07-05 51 7 4 95 W 13 22 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DAVE NIEMI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100104.JAMES.01/BOU