FNUS74 KAMA 040400
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR HL RANCH_A...PRIVATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1000 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WIND SPEEDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER ON TUESDAY AS THE LEE TROUGH
DEVELOPS...WITH WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH SLIGHTLY DURING THE EVENING HOURS BUT WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT BLASTS
THROUGH THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS WILL RESULT IN NORTH WINDS
INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH...BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON TUESDAY WILL FALL TO
AROUND 50 PERCENT WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NO PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED UNTIL WEDNESDAY WHEN SNOW ENTERS THE FORECAST.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........23 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION INCREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 0-1500 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE
                    BY SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 14
                    TO 22 MPH BY MIDDAY.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST LATE.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY...INCREASING
                    TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...MJOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW BIVINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100105.HLRAN.01/AMA