FNUS75 KGJT 052238
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUSTANG RIDGE PILES...ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
338 PM MST TUE JAN 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON JANUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP OVER THE BURN SITE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. CURRENT TIMING LOOKS LIKE AROUND 1600 HOURS...+/- ONE
HOUR. THERE IS SOME MARGINAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE COLD
FRONT. LATEST MODELS RUNS CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ON LIGHT SNOWFALL...
THOUGH ISOLATED HEAVIER SHOWERS COULD PUT DOWN A QUICK 1-2 INCH
ACCUMULATION. GRADIENT WINDS WILL BE MIXING TO THE SURFACE IN THE
MORNING. EXPECT A SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFT FROM NORTHWEST TO
NORTHWEST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. NORTHEAST WINDS AND SNOW WILL
END BY MIDNIGHT WITH A STRONG (COLD) DRY INVERSION SETTING UP BY
THURSDAY MORNING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    WITH LITTLE ACCUMULATION.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-29 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS
                    TO 20-30MPH NEAR OR IN SHOWERS.
                    AFTER 1600...COLD FRONT PASSAGE SHIFTING WINDS
                    TO NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD IN SHOWERS.
CLEARING INDEX......500+ IN SNOW SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN RISING TO 3000 FT
                    OR MORE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 15 MPH
                    AFTER 1600.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100106.MUSTA.01/GJT