FNUS72 KJAX 091217
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT CARRIE...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
717 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 EST ON JANUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING DUE TO
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE AREA
TODAY UNDER BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS. RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY BOTTOM
OUT AROUND 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH TODAY WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS.
THESE CONDITIONS HAVE PROMPTED ISSUANCE OF RED FLAG WARNING FOR
MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

SUNDAY...VERY COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH
RH VALUES FORECAST TO GENERALLY DROP TO NEAR 25 PERCENT. LONG
DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE FORECAST FOR ALL OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA... PROMPTING ISSUANCE OF FIRE WEATHER WATCH.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL AGAIN BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH.

VERY COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH RED FLAG EVENTS ANTICIPATED ON MONDAY AND POSSIBLY TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........77     77     56     34     34     26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............28     34     40     42     42     39
RH..............51     43     31     26     28     38
20 FT WIND......N 9    NW 10  NW 12  NW 12  NW 10  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   2300   2300   3000   3000   1800
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 16  NW 16  NW 16  N 16   NW 16  NW 14

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........26     18     18     18     17     19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     30     28     26     25     24
RH..............38     48     57     59     60     62
20 FT WIND......NW 8   NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   NW 7   NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   700    500    500    400    700
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14  NW 13  NW 9   NW 9   NW 8   NW 12

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....64.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100109.MTCAR.02/JAX