FNUS72 KILM 111630
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1130 AM EST MON JAN 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1115 EST ON JANUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SINK SOUTH THROUGH TODAY AS ANOTHER FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE REGION
ONCE AGAIN LATER TUESDAY AND PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY. A COMPLEX
STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........0      4      9      15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     45     46     44
RH..............35     25     27     34

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH
                       AROUND 0 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........18     21     24     27     28     29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     37     34     33     32     31
RH..............40     52     61     65     68     72
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   200    400    400    300    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10  S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-4400 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                       7 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........30     50     36     22     18     17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     28     37     42     46     45
RH..............71     74     49     40     35     40
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 6    NW 6   NW 7   NW 7   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....400    1700   2800   2800   4400   4000
TRANSPORT WIND..S 0    W 16   NW 8   NW 8   W 7    NW 13

$$
FORECASTER...KEEBLER
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT CREECH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100111.ASH__.01/ILM