FNUS72 KTAE 111235
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHINGLE CREEK1...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
735 AM EST MON JAN 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD AND VERY DRY ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TODAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA COUNTIES FOR
TUESDAY AND WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER TODAY.
RED FLAG HUMIDITIES ARE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THEN...A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE WESTERN
GULF WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHEAST REACHING THE LOCAL AREA LATE
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY SPREADING CLOUDS AND RAIN. AHEAD OF THIS
LOW...HUMIDITIES WILL FINALLY RISE ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS ON
THURSDAY AND REMAIN SO THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION..........AROUND 22.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     49     49     46     39     36
RH..............37     28     26     33     54     63
20 FT WIND......NW 3   W 3    W 5    W 5    W 6    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........3.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION..........63.

$$

FORECASTER...BARRY
REQUESTED BY...VIC DOIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100111.SHING.01/TAE