FNUS75 KBOU 121223 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 523 AM MST TUE JAN 12 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED OVER COLORADO THIS MORNING WITH LIGHT WINDS ALOFT. IT WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST THROUGH THE DAY ALLOWING THE WINDS ALOFT TO BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE. A LEE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS WILL BE DEEPENING TO ALLOW GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS OVER THE BURN AREA. CLEAR SKIES...LOW DEWPOINTS AND LIGHT WINDS ALOFT WILL ALLOW THE NIGHTTIME INVERSION TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE TODAY. THE SMOKE DISPERSION WILL REMAIN POOR AS THE ATMOSPHERE ABOVE IS STABLE UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE. WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE TROUGH CONTINUES TO DEEPEN. A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BE MOVING TOWARD THE STATE...INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND COOLING THINGS OFF WEDNESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-48. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 11-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27. MAX HUMIDITY........35%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 14-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0800...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12-22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/12-05 2 0 28 29 W 10 19 5 1 S14 128 W 15 1694 P 01/12-06 2 0 28 30 W 10 1 140 W 15 1844 P 01/12-07 2 0 29 31 W 10 1 152 W 15 1995 P 01/12-08 2 0 30 30 W 10 24 5 1 SW20 164 W 15 2145 P 01/12-09 2 0 33 27 W 12 1 521 W 15 6127 P 01/12-10 2 0 37 23 W 11 1 877 W 14 10108 P 01/12-11 3 0 41 22 W 12 18 5 1 SW23 1234 W 13 14090 P 01/12-12 3 0 43 18 W 12 1 1567 W 14 19464 P 01/12-13 3 0 45 18 W 12 1 1901 W 15 24839 P 01/12-14 3 0 45 18 W 13 21 5 1 SW29 2234 W 16 30213 P 01/12-15 3 0 45 18 W 13 1 2028 W 16 28755 P 01/12-16 3 0 44 19 W 13 1 1822 W 17 27297 P 01/12-17 7 0 42 21 W 15 24 5 1 SW28 1617 W 18 25839 P 01/12-18 7 0 40 23 W 16 1 1272 W 20 20901 P 01/12-19 7 0 38 25 W 16 1 927 W 21 15963 P 01/12-20 7 0 36 26 W 17 28 5 1 SW26 583 W 22 11024 P 01/12-21 7 0 35 25 W 18 1 520 W 23 10121 P 01/12-22 7 0 34 23 W 18 1 458 W 23 9218 P 01/12-23 27 0 33 21 W 20 31 5 1 SW26 395 W 24 8314 P 01/13-00 27 0 32 22 W 20 1 362 W 24 7588 P 01/13-01 27 0 31 23 W 20 1 329 W 24 6862 P 01/13-02 27 0 31 26 W 21 33 5 1 SW20 296 W 24 6136 P 01/13-03 27 0 30 28 W 21 1 295 W 24 6172 P 01/13-04 27 0 30 30 W 21 1 294 W 24 6207 P 01/13-05 48 0 30 32 W 21 33 3 1 SW22 293 W 24 6242 P 01/13-06 48 0 29 33 W 20 1 307 W 24 6383 P 01/13-07 48 0 29 34 W 18 1 322 W 23 6524 P 01/13-08 60 0 30 35 W 17 26 3 1 SW24 337 W 23 6664 P 01/13-09 60 0 32 33 W 16 1 858 W 23 18146 P 01/13-10 60 0 35 29 W 16 1 1379 W 24 29628 P 01/13-11 64 0 38 27 W 15 23 3 1 W21 1901 W 25 41110 F 01/13-12 64 0 40 26 W 14 1 2878 W 23 55256 F 01/13-13 64 0 41 26 W 14 1 3855 W 22 69401 G 01/13-14 72 0 42 27 W 13 20 3 1 SW20 4832 W 20 83547 G 01/13-15 72 0 41 29 W 13 1 4026 W 18 67127 G 01/13-16 72 0 39 33 W 13 1 3220 W 17 50706 F 01/13-17 75 0 37 37 W 12 17 3 1 SW10 2413 W 16 34285 P 01/13-18 75 0 35 40 W 10 1 1856 W 14 24656 P 01/13-19 75 0 33 44 W 9 1 1299 W 12 15028 P 01/13-20 78 0 32 47 W 9 9 3 1 S16 742 W 8 5399 P 01/13-21 78 0 31 49 W 8 1 628 W 7 4250 P 01/13-22 78 0 30 51 W 7 1 513 W 7 3101 P 01/13-23 81 10 29 51 W 7 7 2 1 SW20 398 W 6 1953 P 01/14-00 81 10 29 53 W 7 1 677 W 6 3029 P 01/14-01 81 10 29 54 W 7 1 955 SW 5 4104 P 01/14-02 81 10 28 55 W 7 7 2 1 S21 1234 SW 5 5180 P 01/14-03 81 10 28 56 W 7 1 1246 SW 5 4646 P 01/14-04 81 10 28 56 W 8 1 1257 W 3 4111 P 01/14-05 89 30 28 56 W 8 8 2 1 S14 1269 W 3 3576 P 01/14-06 89 30 28 56 W 8 1 1622 SW 2 3501 P 01/14-07 89 30 28 56 SW 8 1 1974 SE 2 3426 P 01/14-08 89 30 28 55 S 8 8 2 1 SE12 2327 CALM 3351 P 01/14-09 89 30 29 53 SE 8 1 2994 E 5 13845 P 01/14-10 89 30 30 50 SE 8 1 3660 E 7 24339 P 01/14-11 89 30 31 48 E 8 8 2 1 S17 4327 E 9 34833 P 01/14-12 89 30 31 50 E 8 1 4493 E 9 34687 P 01/14-13 89 30 31 52 E 7 1 4660 E 8 34541 P 01/14-14 89 30 31 55 E 7 7 2 1 S14 4826 SE 8 34395 P 01/14-15 89 30 31 58 E 6 1 4516 SE 7 28902 P 01/14-16 89 30 30 62 E 5 1 4206 SE 6 23408 P 01/14-17 75 20 30 66 E 5 5 2 1 SE 7 3896 SE 6 17914 P 01/14-18 75 20 29 69 E 5 1 3368 E 6 16107 P 01/14-19 75 20 28 71 E 3 1 2839 E 6 14301 P 01/14-20 75 20 27 71 NE 3 3 2 1 E 6 2311 E 6 12494 P 01/14-21 75 20 26 71 NE 3 1 2193 E 6 11207 P 01/14-22 75 20 25 70 N 3 1 2076 E 6 9919 P 01/14-23 75 20 25 68 N 3 3 2 1 E 6 1958 E 5 8632 P 01/15-00 75 20 24 67 N 3 1 1794 E 5 6623 P 01/15-01 75 20 24 66 N 3 1 1630 NE 3 4614 P 01/15-02 75 20 24 65 N 3 3 2 1 NE 8 1466 NE 2 2605 P 01/15-03 75 20 23 64 N 3 1 1371 NE 2 2963 P 01/15-04 75 20 23 63 N 3 1 1276 N 3 3321 P 01/15-05 29 0 23 62 N 3 3 2 1 NE 8 1182 N 3 3679 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100112.JAMES.01/BOU