FNUS72 KTAE 121036
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHINGLE CREEK 1...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
536 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...THE VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHICH WILL RESULT IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS
EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TRI-STATE AREA. FOR THIS
AFTERNOON...EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT WILL KEEP THE WARNING IN PLACE FOR NORTHWEST
FLORIDA. IN ADDITION TO THE DRY CONDITIONS...NORTHWEST WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT WILL BECOME GUSTY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON PERIOD TODAY. HOWEVER...DISPERSIONS ARE FORECAST TO STAY
BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN JUST ABOVE 25
PERCENT OVER SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA TODAY. ON
WEDNESDAY...A RED FLAG WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT ACROSS THE TRI-STATE
AREA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PERIOD. AFTER VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS
THURSDAY...INCREASING MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES WILL KEEP RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ABOVE RED FLAG LEVELS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 2500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............38     45     52     52     50     44
RH..............54     44     35     32     39     59
20 FT WIND......NW 8   NW 9   NW 10  NW 10  NW 10  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 2300 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GIBBS
REQUESTED BY...VIC DOIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100112.SHING.01/TAE