FNUS75 KBOU 130126 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 620 PM MST TUE JAN 12 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT BREEZES BENEATH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TUESDAY EVENING WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW A BAND OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE PRESENTLY OVER EASTERN UTAH TO MOVE OVER THE FRONT RANGE WEDNESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE DRY AND SEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER DAY WITH GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON. IT IS WEDNESDAY EVENING WHEN A STAND-UP PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA BRINGING WITH IT COOLER TEMPERATURES...WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW... HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOWFALL TO THE FRONT RANGE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR UNTIL 2400 THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29. MAX HUMIDITY........35-43%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500-1100 FT AGL BY 0600. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1000...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS). MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46. MIN HUMIDITY........24-28%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2300 UNTIL 0500...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-23. MAX HUMIDITY........87-92%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 7-13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-34. MIN HUMIDITY........58-65%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/12-17 4 0 40 23 W 9 9 5 1 SW30 1174 W 24 24860 P 01/12-18 4 0 38 25 W 12 1 933 W 23 19347 P 01/12-19 4 0 36 27 W 14 1 691 W 22 13834 P 01/12-20 4 0 35 27 W 15 24 5 1 SW26 450 W 21 8321 P 01/12-21 4 0 34 26 W 15 1 386 W 22 7180 P 01/12-22 4 0 32 24 W 15 1 322 W 22 6039 P 01/12-23 27 0 31 23 W 15 24 5 1 SW24 258 W 22 4898 P 01/13-00 27 0 30 23 W 15 1 232 W 22 4338 P 01/13-01 27 0 30 25 W 14 1 206 W 21 3778 P 01/13-02 27 0 29 28 W 14 22 4 1 SW28 180 W 21 3218 P 01/13-03 27 0 29 30 W 15 1 213 W 22 4217 P 01/13-04 27 0 28 32 W 16 1 246 W 24 5216 P 01/13-05 53 0 28 34 W 16 25 4 1 SW20 279 W 25 6215 P 01/13-06 53 0 29 34 W 17 1 401 W 28 9756 P 01/13-07 53 0 29 35 W 18 1 524 W 29 13297 P 01/13-08 60 0 31 33 W 20 31 4 1 SW26 646 W 30 16838 P 01/13-09 60 0 33 31 W 21 1 1173 W 30 30864 P 01/13-10 60 0 35 29 W 20 1 1701 W 30 44891 F 01/13-11 64 0 38 27 W 18 30 4 1 W21 2228 W 30 58917 F 01/13-12 64 0 39 27 W 17 1 2984 W 26 62941 G 01/13-13 64 0 41 27 W 17 1 3741 W 22 66965 G 01/13-14 72 0 41 28 W 16 25 3 1 W20 4497 W 18 70989 G 01/13-15 72 0 40 30 W 14 1 3440 W 17 52840 F 01/13-16 72 0 38 34 W 12 1 2383 W 16 34692 P 01/13-17 68 0 34 41 W 12 12 3 1 W18 1326 W 14 16543 P 01/13-18 68 0 31 47 W 10 1 1101 W 12 11688 P 01/13-19 68 0 29 52 W 9 1 710 W 10 7089 P 01/13-20 66 0 27 56 W 9 9 3 1 SW12 319 W 9 2491 P 01/13-21 66 0 26 60 W 8 1 269 W 8 1984 P 01/13-22 66 0 24 65 W 7 1 218 W 7 1476 P 01/13-23 81 10 22 68 W 7 7 2 1 S12 168 W 7 969 P 01/14-00 81 10 21 73 W 7 1 162 W 7 941 P 01/14-01 81 10 20 77 W 7 1 157 W 7 913 P 01/14-02 81 10 19 79 W 7 7 2 1 S17 152 W 7 885 P 01/14-03 81 10 19 82 W 7 1 156 W 7 927 P 01/14-04 81 10 19 83 W 8 1 159 W 7 969 P 01/14-05 96 30 19 89 W 8 8 2 1 SW18 163 W 7 1011 P 01/14-06 96 30 19 87 W 8 1 192 W 7 1048 P 01/14-07 96 30 19 87 SW 8 1 220 S 6 1085 P 01/14-08 96 30 21 79 S 8 8 2 1 SW15 249 S 6 1121 P 01/14-09 96 30 23 71 SE 8 1 1240 SE 7 9215 P 01/14-10 96 30 25 65 SE 8 1 2230 E 8 17308 P 01/14-11 96 30 27 64 E 8 8 2 1 SW 6 3221 E 9 25402 P 01/14-12 96 30 29 63 E 8 1 3752 E 9 28490 P 01/14-13 96 30 30 62 E 7 1 4283 E 8 31578 P 01/14-14 96 30 31 64 E 7 7 2 1 N 2 4814 E 8 34666 P 01/14-15 96 30 31 68 E 6 1 4556 E 9 35538 P 01/14-16 96 30 30 73 E 5 1 4298 E 10 36411 P 01/14-17 86 30 29 75 E 5 5 2 1 NE 5 4040 E 10 37284 P 01/14-18 86 30 28 78 E 5 1 3722 E 10 33615 P 01/14-19 86 30 27 79 E 3 1 3405 E 10 29947 P 01/14-20 86 30 26 79 NE 3 3 2 1 E 7 3088 E 10 26279 P 01/14-21 86 30 26 78 N 3 1 2737 E 8 19905 P 01/14-22 86 30 25 77 W 5 1 2386 E 6 13531 P 01/14-23 86 30 25 75 W 5 5 2 1 SE 7 2034 E 5 7158 P 01/15-00 86 30 24 74 W 6 1 1769 NE 3 5071 P 01/15-01 86 30 24 73 W 7 1 1504 N 2 2985 P 01/15-02 86 30 24 71 W 8 8 2 1 SE 3 1239 CALM 899 P 01/15-03 86 30 24 69 W 9 1 1115 CALM 1026 P 01/15-04 86 30 23 68 W 10 1 991 CALM 1152 P 01/15-05 36 0 23 70 W 10 10 2 1 NW 2 866 CALM 1279 P 01/15-06 36 0 24 70 W 10 1 1198 NW 2 2268 P 01/15-07 36 0 24 67 W 9 1 1529 N 2 3258 P 01/15-08 36 0 26 63 NW 8 8 2 1 N 8 1860 N 2 4248 P 01/15-09 36 0 28 58 NW 7 1 2847 N 2 7178 P 01/15-10 36 0 30 55 N 5 1 3834 N 3 10108 P 01/15-11 28 0 32 52 N 3 3 2 1 N 8 4821 N 3 13038 P 01/15-12 28 0 34 49 N 3 1 5064 N 2 12401 P 01/15-13 28 0 35 48 NE 3 1 5308 NW 2 11765 P 01/15-14 28 0 35 47 E 3 3 2 1 NW 8 5552 NW 2 11128 P 01/15-15 28 0 35 47 SE 3 1 5060 NW 2 11957 P 01/15-16 28 0 34 48 S 3 1 4568 NW 3 12786 P 01/15-17 13 0 32 51 S 3 3 3 1 NW 8 4076 NW 3 13615 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100113.JAMES.01/BOU