FNUS75 KGJT 140540
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPIN PILE BURN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1040 PM MST WED JAN 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON JANUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE OVER ARIZONA WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD INTO OLD MEXICO
TODAY. ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION TO PRODUCE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. THE MIXING HEIGHT WAS
BASED ON AN AFTERNOON MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 42...WHICH APPEARS
VERY REALISTIC.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 4-8 MPH AFTER 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH-NORTHEAST 10 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...BRAD HARRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100114.CHAPI.01/GJT