FNUS75 KBOU 151135 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 432 AM MST FRI JAN 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION....DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS COLORADO TODAY WITH A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE. THE INVERSION SHOULD WEAKEN THIS MORNING WITH WEAK DOWNSLOPE FLOW IN PLACE...SO SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BRING ENOUGH HEATING TO BREAK INVERSIONS. IN ADDITION...TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING SMOKE DISPERSION INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0800...THEN SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....41. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....28. MAX HUMIDITY........40%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....41. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12-22 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/15-04 12 0 27 57 W 10 1 1455 NW 14 18439 P 01/15-05 12 0 28 54 W 10 16 2 1 NW20 1588 NW 16 22051 P 01/15-06 12 0 28 54 W 10 1 1658 NW 16 22963 P 01/15-07 12 0 27 55 W 9 1 1728 NW 16 23875 P 01/15-08 10 0 28 54 W 9 9 3 1 N61 1798 NW 15 22655 P 01/15-09 10 0 30 50 W 9 1 3011 NW 16 46666 F 01/15-10 10 0 34 44 W 8 1 4225 NW 18 70677 G 01/15-11 9 0 37 39 W 8 8 3 1 N51 5439 NW 20 94688 G 01/15-12 9 0 39 35 W 8 1 5435 NW 20 94476 G 01/15-13 9 0 40 33 W 9 1 5430 NW 20 94263 G 01/15-14 9 0 41 32 W 9 9 4 1 N48 5426 NW 20 94051 G 01/15-15 9 0 40 31 W 10 1 4655 NW 18 78026 G 01/15-16 9 0 39 31 W 10 1 3884 NW 18 62001 G 01/15-17 6 0 38 32 W 12 17 2 1 N41 3113 NW 17 45977 F 01/15-18 6 0 36 32 W 13 1 2572 NW 18 40848 F 01/15-19 6 0 34 32 W 13 1 2032 NW 17 30637 P 01/15-20 6 0 33 32 W 14 21 2 1 N28 1491 NW 16 20425 P 01/15-21 6 0 32 30 W 15 1 1342 NW 17 19748 P 01/15-22 6 0 31 29 W 15 1 1193 NW 18 19070 P 01/15-23 14 0 31 28 W 16 24 2 1 NW23 1044 W 21 18393 P 01/16-00 14 0 30 28 W 16 1 907 W 20 15720 P 01/16-01 14 0 30 28 W 17 1 769 W 20 13047 P 01/16-02 14 0 30 28 W 17 26 2 1 NW30 631 W 18 10374 P 01/16-03 14 0 30 28 W 17 1 573 W 18 9200 P 01/16-04 14 0 29 29 W 17 1 514 W 17 8026 P 01/16-05 22 0 29 29 W 17 26 2 1 NW38 456 W 17 6851 P 01/16-06 22 0 28 40 W 21 1 394 W 17 5951 P 01/16-07 22 0 28 40 W 18 1 409 W 17 5915 P 01/16-08 22 0 28 37 W 17 28 4 1 NW16 423 W 16 5879 P 01/16-09 22 0 31 35 W 15 1 704 W 15 8395 P 01/16-10 22 0 34 32 W 13 1 984 W 14 10911 P 01/16-11 17 0 36 30 W 12 12 4 1 NW13 1264 W 13 13427 P 01/16-12 17 0 38 28 W 10 1 1722 W 12 16933 P 01/16-13 17 0 40 26 W 10 1 2180 W 12 20439 P 01/16-14 17 0 40 26 W 10 10 4 1 NW15 2638 W 10 23945 P 01/16-15 17 0 40 26 W 12 1 2200 W 10 20328 P 01/16-16 17 0 39 27 W 12 1 1762 W 12 16710 P 01/16-17 23 0 38 30 W 13 13 3 1 NW17 1324 W 12 13092 P 01/16-18 23 0 36 33 W 12 1 1205 W 12 12054 P 01/16-19 23 0 35 37 W 12 1 1086 W 12 11016 P 01/16-20 23 0 34 40 W 10 10 3 1 W15 966 W 12 9978 P 01/16-21 23 0 33 42 W 10 1 928 W 12 9646 P 01/16-22 23 0 32 44 W 10 1 890 W 12 9314 P 01/16-23 23 0 32 45 W 10 10 3 1 W12 851 W 13 8982 P 01/17-00 23 0 31 46 W 10 1 831 W 13 8882 P 01/17-01 23 0 31 46 W 10 1 811 W 13 8781 P 01/17-02 23 0 30 47 W 10 10 3 1 SW17 791 W 13 8680 P 01/17-03 23 0 30 47 W 10 1 817 W 13 9026 P 01/17-04 23 0 30 47 W 9 1 843 W 13 9372 P 01/17-05 52 0 30 50 W 9 9 3 1 SW22 868 W 13 9717 P 01/17-06 52 0 30 50 W 9 1 951 W 13 10227 P 01/17-07 52 0 30 49 W 10 1 1034 W 12 10737 P 01/17-08 52 0 32 46 W 10 10 3 1 SW23 1117 W 12 11247 P 01/17-09 52 0 34 43 W 9 1 2044 W 10 17312 P 01/17-10 52 0 35 41 W 8 1 2971 W 9 23377 P 01/17-11 50 0 37 38 W 7 7 3 1 SW23 3899 W 9 29442 P 01/17-12 50 0 38 37 W 7 1 4622 W 10 41520 F 01/17-13 50 0 39 36 W 7 1 5345 W 12 53598 F 01/17-14 50 0 40 36 W 8 8 2 1 W26 6068 W 13 65676 G 01/17-15 50 0 39 37 W 8 1 5510 W 13 59871 F 01/17-16 50 0 38 39 W 8 1 4952 W 13 54066 F 01/17-17 53 0 36 43 W 9 9 2 1 W31 4395 W 13 48262 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100115.JAMES.01/BOU