FNUS72 KMFL 152135
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONCHO MUD RX...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
435 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2200 EST ON JANUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GENERALLY TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED IN THE VICINITY OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE
OVERNIGHT, WITH A LIGHT BUT PERSISTENT EAST-SOUTHEAST WIND AND
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE SLIM DURING
THE DAY TOMORROW, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
COLLIER COUNTY. ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY ON SATURDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY NIGHT, AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST, BUT THE HIGHEST
RAIN CHANCES WILL OCCUR DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY ON
SUNDAY. OTHERWISE, EXPECT GENERALLY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TOMORROW
AFTERNOON, WITH MIXING LAYER WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10-15
MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............63.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........60     60     60     60     60     60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
12 HR CHC PCPN. 10     10     10     10     10     10
 6 HR CHC PCPN. 10     10     10     10     10     10
TEMP............69     65     63     62     61     59
RH..............77     92     94     96     98     100
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 5    E 4    E 5    E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5    E 5    E 4    E 5    E 5    E 5
EYE LVL WIND G..10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   1700   500    700    700    700
MIXNG WIND......E 9    E 9    E 9    E 8    E 8    E 9
DISP IDX (LDSI).10     10     6      5      5      8
LVORI...........4      4      7      8      8      8
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............68.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
POP (12 HR).................20 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 42.
LVORI...............4.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS.

$$

FORECASTER...DIXON
REQUESTED BY...MINDY WRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED