FNUS72 KMHX 142133 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR BOW TIE EAST2...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 433 PM EST THU JAN 14 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN MOVE OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND TRACK JUST INLAND OF THE COAST ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING WELL NORTHEAST OF THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN MOVES OFFSHORE DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......250-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............19 20 20 21 21 21 21 21 23 27 30 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................44 41 42 39 38 38 38 37 37 37 36 36 MIN HUMIDITY........51 65 60 67 70 70 70 72 75 79 82 82 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 MIXING HT........... 900 250 250 250 TRANSPORT WINDS..... SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......250 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 250 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 6 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............38 39 38 36 34 32 30 29 30 33 35 38 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................35 35 36 40 45 49 51 54 55 55 54 52 MIN HUMIDITY........82 78 75 64 53 48 44 41 40 40 43 46 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)7 8 9 9 9 10 12 12 12 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 MIXING HT........... 250 1000 3000 2000 TRANSPORT WINDS..... W 6 W 15 W 20 W 14 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 250 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............40 41 40 39 37 35 33 33 33 35 36 37 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................49 45 46 43 42 41 41 40 40 39 38 38 MIN HUMIDITY........54 65 63 73 76 82 82 85 85 85 89 89 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)7 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 MIXING HT........... 500 250 250 250 TRANSPORT WINDS..... W 8 W 6 W 6 NW 6 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......250 EARLY...INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............39 40 40 40 41 41 41 42 44 49 54 59 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................38 37 37 41 45 48 50 52 53 53 53 52 MIN HUMIDITY........92 96 100 85 73 65 61 56 54 57 57 61 20 FT WIND DIR......N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 MIXING HT........... 250 1000 2400 1500 TRANSPORT WINDS..... NW 5 WNW 7 W 8 WSW 7 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...ED CHRISTOPHER GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100115.BOWTI.02/MHX