FNUS72 KMHX 151406 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR BOW TIE EAST2...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 906 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT... THEN MOVE OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND TRACK JUST INLAND OF THE COAST ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING WELL NORTHEAST OF THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN MOVES OFFSHORE DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......250-2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............32 30 29 30 33 35 38 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................49 51 55 58 57 55 53 MIN HUMIDITY........53 48 41 40 41 43 48 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)8 8 8 8 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 MIXING HT...........1300 2800 2000 TRANSPORT WINDS.....WSW 12 W 17 W 13 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......250-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............40 41 40 39 37 35 33 33 33 35 36 37 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................50 46 47 44 42 42 41 40 40 40 39 38 MIN HUMIDITY........56 68 66 74 79 79 82 85 85 85 89 92 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW N 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 MIXING HT........... 500 250 250 250 TRANSPORT WINDS..... W 7 W 5 W 5 NW 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............39 40 41 44 46 49 51 53 55 59 63 67 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................38 37 38 41 46 49 51 54 55 55 55 54 MIN HUMIDITY........92 96 94 84 71 63 58 52 51 53 55 59 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)2 2 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 MIXING HT........... 250 1000 2200 1500 TRANSPORT WINDS..... NW 4 W 3 WSW 7 SW 5 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...ED CHRISTOPHER GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100115.BOWTI.02/MHX