FNUS75 KBOU 160050 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 550 PM MST FRI JAN 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY...BEFORE SHIFTING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON SUNDAY. THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRY AND STABLE...AND WITH LOW LEVEL INVERSIONS REMAINING...THE SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL REMAIN POOR. IMPROVING DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS THE INVERSIONS DISSIPATE AND THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE SOUTWHEST. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....28. MAX HUMIDITY........35%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1000...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 7-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....29. MAX HUMIDITY........36%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 13-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/15-17 6 0 37 33 W 12 12 2 1 N43 3265 NW 15 41187 F 01/15-18 6 0 35 33 W 13 1 2676 NW 15 34504 P 01/15-19 6 0 34 32 W 13 1 2086 NW 16 27821 P 01/15-20 6 0 33 31 W 14 22 3 1 N31 1496 NW 16 21138 P 01/15-21 6 0 32 30 W 15 1 1274 W 16 18181 P 01/15-22 6 0 31 29 W 15 1 1051 W 17 15224 P 01/15-23 27 0 30 29 W 16 25 3 1 NW26 829 W 17 12267 P 01/16-00 27 0 30 28 W 16 1 709 W 17 10411 P 01/16-01 27 0 29 29 W 17 1 588 W 16 8555 P 01/16-02 27 0 29 29 W 17 28 2 1 NW24 468 W 16 6699 P 01/16-03 27 0 28 30 W 17 1 421 W 16 6039 P 01/16-04 27 0 28 30 W 17 1 374 W 16 5380 P 01/16-05 27 0 28 30 W 17 28 2 1 NW21 327 W 16 4720 P 01/16-06 27 0 28 34 W 21 1 368 W 16 5199 P 01/16-07 27 0 29 35 W 18 1 409 W 16 5677 P 01/16-08 27 0 31 33 W 18 30 3 1 N24 451 W 16 6156 P 01/16-09 27 0 33 32 W 15 1 699 W 14 7929 P 01/16-10 27 0 35 30 W 13 1 946 NW 13 9702 P 01/16-11 30 0 37 29 W 12 12 3 1 N29 1194 NW 12 11474 P 01/16-12 30 0 39 27 W 10 1 1606 NW 13 18872 P 01/16-13 30 0 40 26 W 10 1 2018 NW 14 26269 P 01/16-14 30 0 41 26 W 10 10 3 1 NW24 2429 NW 16 33667 P 01/16-15 30 0 40 26 W 12 1 1939 NW 16 26927 P 01/16-16 30 0 39 27 W 12 1 1448 W 16 20187 P 01/16-17 30 0 38 30 W 16 25 4 1 NW29 958 W 16 13447 P 01/16-18 30 0 36 32 W 16 1 1235 W 13 13237 P 01/16-19 30 0 35 34 W 16 1 1073 W 13 11618 P 01/16-20 30 0 34 35 W 16 25 3 1 W20 911 W 13 9999 P 01/16-21 30 0 33 36 W 15 1 855 W 13 9441 P 01/16-22 30 0 32 36 W 15 1 798 W 13 8882 P 01/16-23 30 0 32 36 W 16 25 3 1 W20 741 W 13 8323 P 01/17-00 30 0 31 36 W 17 1 746 W 14 8658 P 01/17-01 30 0 31 36 W 20 1 751 W 14 8993 P 01/17-02 30 0 30 35 W 20 31 3 1 W26 756 W 14 9328 P 01/17-03 30 0 30 35 W 18 1 812 W 14 9642 P 01/17-04 30 0 30 34 W 16 1 868 W 14 9956 P 01/17-05 50 0 30 34 W 14 22 3 1 W32 924 W 13 10270 P 01/17-06 50 0 30 35 W 13 1 1018 W 13 10855 P 01/17-07 50 0 30 36 W 12 1 1112 W 12 11441 P 01/17-08 50 0 32 35 W 12 12 3 1 W29 1207 W 12 12026 P 01/17-09 50 0 34 35 W 10 1 2186 W 12 22643 P 01/17-10 50 0 35 35 W 12 1 3164 W 12 33260 P 01/17-11 50 0 37 35 W 12 12 2 1 W25 4143 W 13 43877 F 01/17-12 50 0 38 34 W 13 1 4646 W 13 52001 F 01/17-13 50 0 39 33 W 13 1 5148 W 14 60124 G 01/17-14 50 0 40 33 W 13 13 2 1 W22 5651 W 14 68248 G 01/17-15 50 0 39 33 W 12 1 4972 W 14 58915 F 01/17-16 50 0 38 35 W 10 1 4294 W 13 49582 F 01/17-17 55 0 36 39 W 8 8 2 1 NW18 3616 W 13 40249 F 01/17-18 55 0 34 42 W 10 1 2865 W 13 31591 P 01/17-19 55 0 33 46 W 10 1 2115 W 13 22933 P 01/17-20 55 0 32 50 W 12 12 3 1 NW15 1364 W 12 14275 P 01/17-21 55 0 31 51 W 12 1 1243 W 13 13527 P 01/17-22 55 0 30 53 W 13 1 1121 W 14 12778 P 01/17-23 55 0 29 54 W 14 22 4 1 NW13 999 W 14 12029 P 01/18-00 55 0 28 55 W 14 1 933 W 14 11225 P 01/18-01 55 0 28 56 W 14 1 867 W 14 10420 P 01/18-02 55 0 27 57 W 14 22 4 1 W13 801 W 14 9615 P 01/18-03 55 0 27 57 W 14 1 792 W 14 9395 P 01/18-04 55 0 27 57 W 14 1 783 W 14 9175 P 01/18-05 77 0 27 57 W 13 13 4 1 W13 774 W 14 8954 P 01/18-06 77 0 27 57 W 13 1 778 W 13 8611 P 01/18-07 77 0 27 55 W 12 1 782 W 13 8267 P 01/18-08 77 0 29 51 W 10 10 4 1 SW16 786 W 12 7924 P 01/18-09 77 0 32 47 W 10 1 1238 W 12 11897 P 01/18-10 77 0 34 43 W 9 1 1689 W 12 15869 P 01/18-11 77 0 36 40 W 9 9 3 1 SW20 2140 W 10 19842 P 01/18-12 77 0 38 38 W 8 1 2669 W 10 25447 P 01/18-13 77 0 39 36 W 8 1 3197 W 12 31052 P 01/18-14 77 0 39 36 W 7 7 2 1 SW22 3725 W 12 36657 P 01/18-15 77 0 39 37 W 7 1 2964 W 10 28117 P 01/18-16 77 0 37 40 W 7 1 2203 W 9 19578 P 01/18-17 60 10 34 45 W 7 7 2 1 W23 1441 W 9 11038 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100116.JAMES.01/BOU