FNUS75 KBOU 191553 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 900 AM MST TUE JAN 19 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...CHANGING OVER TO ALL TO SNOW THIS EVENING. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE AT THAT TIME. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-39. MIN HUMIDITY........41-45%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...FAIR 1000-1200...GOOD 1200-1400 THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-19. MAX HUMIDITY........90-95%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST 16-26 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1300...THEN CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34. MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTH 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/19-08 82 10 30 43 W 17 28 3 1 SW18 783 W 18 12837 P 01/19-09 82 10 31 43 W 15 1 1678 W 18 25376 P 01/19-10 82 10 32 43 W 13 1 2573 W 17 37915 P 01/19-11 82 25 33 44 W 12 12 2 1 S24 3467 W 17 50455 F 01/19-12 82 25 34 43 W 13 1 4003 W 18 64467 G 01/19-13 82 25 35 43 W 16 1 4539 W 20 78479 G 01/19-14 82 25 35 45 W 18 30 2 1 S22 5075 W 21 92491 G 01/19-15 82 25 34 47 W 21 1 4782 W 25 103257 V 01/19-16 82 25 32 51 W 22 1 4488 W 30 114023 V 01/19-17 68 20 28 61 W 23 37 3 1 SW21 4195 W 35 124790 V 01/19-18 68 20 26 66 W 23 1 3468 W 36 105480 V 01/19-19 68 20 24 70 W 23 1 2741 W 37 86169 G 01/19-20 68 20 22 72 W 22 35 4 1 SW23 2014 W 38 66859 G 01/19-21 68 20 21 74 W 22 1 1497 W 35 48319 F 01/19-22 68 20 19 75 W 22 1 980 W 31 29779 P 01/19-23 60 20 18 76 W 22 35 3 1 W49 462 W 28 11239 P 01/20-00 60 20 17 79 W 21 1 374 W 24 8398 P 01/20-01 60 20 16 82 W 18 1 286 W 20 5557 P 01/20-02 60 20 15 86 W 16 25 2 1 W33 198 W 16 2716 P 01/20-03 60 20 15 90 W 14 1 185 W 13 2150 P 01/20-04 60 20 15 94 W 10 1 173 W 10 1584 P 01/20-05 59 0 15 95 W 8 8 3 1 SW30 160 W 7 1019 P 01/20-06 59 0 15 93 W 7 1 156 W 10 1383 P 01/20-07 59 0 15 89 W 6 1 167 W 9 1359 P 01/20-08 59 0 17 79 W 5 5 2 1 SW29 228 W 3 763 P 01/20-09 59 0 20 69 NW 3 1 460 SW 8 3085 P 01/20-10 59 0 22 63 NE 2 1 741 S 8 4836 P 01/20-11 59 0 25 57 E 2 2 2 1 S15 1261 S 3 4041 P 01/20-12 59 0 27 53 E 2 1 1599 S 9 15086 P 01/20-13 97 0 28 51 N 2 1 2176 S 12 23585 P 01/20-14 97 0 29 51 N 3 3 2 1 S14 3062 W 10 28707 P 01/20-15 97 0 28 51 NW 5 1 2598 S 13 27779 P 01/20-16 97 0 28 52 NW 6 1 2443 S 10 23474 P 01/20-17 97 10 27 54 W 7 7 2 1 S 3 2667 W 20 44619 F 01/20-18 97 10 26 55 W 7 1 1969 S 8 14935 P 01/20-19 97 10 25 55 W 7 1 1649 SW 7 10700 P 01/20-20 97 10 25 56 W 8 8 2 1 SW 5 1337 W 16 18338 P 01/20-21 97 10 24 58 W 9 1 1033 SW 7 5711 P 01/20-22 97 10 23 60 W 12 1 737 W 9 4956 P 01/20-23 43 0 23 63 W 13 13 3 1 W 9 1451 W 21 26536 P 01/21-00 43 0 22 67 W 12 1 530 W 14 6764 P 01/21-01 43 0 22 70 W 10 1 619 W 16 9326 P 01/21-02 43 0 22 73 W 10 10 2 1 SW12 714 W 9 5780 P 01/21-03 43 0 22 74 W 10 1 750 W 20 12400 P 01/21-04 43 0 22 74 W 10 1 792 W 18 12912 P 01/21-05 43 0 22 73 W 10 10 3 1 W13 567 W 9 4479 P 01/21-06 43 0 22 71 W 10 1 966 W 15 12033 P 01/21-07 43 0 23 66 W 10 1 1098 W 12 10643 P 01/21-08 97 0 25 59 W 10 10 2 1 W15 1128 W 9 8786 P 01/21-09 97 0 28 52 W 9 1 2503 W 13 34224 P 01/21-10 97 0 30 47 W 7 1 3776 W 16 59196 F 01/21-11 97 0 33 43 W 6 6 2 1 SW15 4177 SW 12 43214 F 01/21-12 97 0 34 39 W 5 1 5160 SW 21 92643 G 01/21-13 97 0 36 35 W 3 1 5271 SW 22 101118 V 01/21-14 97 0 36 34 S 2 2 2 1 SW23 5258 SW 18 86467 G 01/21-15 97 0 36 35 S 2 1 5292 SW 22 102946 V 01/21-16 97 0 35 36 SW 3 1 5201 SW 21 96297 G 01/21-17 97 0 33 40 SW 3 3 2 1 SW29 4998 SW 22 94035 G 01/21-18 97 0 32 42 SW 5 1 01/21-19 97 0 31 44 W 5 1 01/21-20 97 0 30 45 W 5 5 1 01/21-21 74 0 29 49 SW 5 1 01/21-22 74 0 28 53 SW 5 1 01/21-23 74 0 27 57 SW 3 3 1 01/22-00 74 0 26 56 SW 5 1 01/22-01 74 0 26 53 SW 6 1 01/22-02 74 0 25 52 SW 6 6 1 01/22-03 74 0 25 55 W 7 1 01/22-04 74 0 25 60 SW 8 1 01/22-05 77 10 25 63 SW 8 8 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100117.JAMES.01/BOU