FNUS74 KMOB 192036
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLOCK 0851...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
236 PM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1450 CST ON JANUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE MOISTURE
LEVELS...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY.
A DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE...BUT AM NOT EXPECTING DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO
FALL BELOW 40 PERCENT FRIDAY. SATURDAY...AS A SECOND SYSTEM APPROACHES
THE AREA...INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING INCREASING MOISTURE.
THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH A FRONT ACROSS THE AREA IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY MONDAY TIMEFRAME.

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........47     47     47     72     72     72
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............57     54     52     52     52     53
RH..............84     94     99     100    100    100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3      4      3      3      2      2
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   800    300    300    300    300
MIX HGT (M).....520    240    90     90     90     90
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE     S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5      6      7      7      6      6
TRANS SPD (M/S).2      3      3      3      3      3
DISPERSION......10     4      3      3      3      3
LVORI...........4      6      9      9      9      9
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........77     77     77     84     84     84
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY S CHC  S CHC  DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............54     58     62     66     66     65
RH..............100    95     88     86     89     93
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3      5      6      8      7      7
MIX HGT (FT)....300    800    1400   2000   1800   1600
MIX HGT (M).....90     240    430    610    550    490
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE     S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7      13     18     23     24     22
TRANS SPD (M/S).3      6      8      10     11     10
DISPERSION......3      14     29     44     44     37
LVORI...........9      5      4      4      4      4
CWR.............20     20     20     80     80     80

$$
FORECASTER...MOB FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100119.BLOCK.02/MOB