FNUS75 KBOU 200305 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FRISCO WUI...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 805 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS COLORADO WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO THE MOUNTAINS. WHILE WINDS ALOFT WILL BE WEAK...ENOUGH MIXING AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AREA SHOULD AID SMOKE DISPERSION DURING THE AFTERNOON. YET ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE AREA THURSDAY WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-32 MIN HUMIDITY........39-41%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4-5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....7. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 200-800 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........46%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 2. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FRISCO WUI. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/20-05 59 20 14 50 S 5 5 2 1 SW20 1409 SW 9 11046 P 01/20-06 70 20 14 51 S 3 1 1701 SW 9 13341 P 01/20-07 70 20 15 52 S 3 1 1994 SW 9 15637 P 01/20-08 70 20 17 50 S 2 2 2 1 SW17 2286 S 9 17932 P 01/20-09 70 20 20 47 S 2 1 3300 S 9 27261 P 01/20-10 70 20 22 45 SE 2 1 4314 S 9 36591 P 01/20-11 95 40 25 43 SE 2 2 2 1 SW15 5328 S 10 45920 F 01/20-12 95 40 27 41 E 2 1 5666 S 10 53757 F 01/20-13 95 40 28 39 NE 3 1 6003 SW 12 61593 G 01/20-14 95 40 29 39 N 3 3 2 1 W14 6340 W 13 69430 G 01/20-15 95 40 28 41 N 5 1 6096 W 14 70598 G 01/20-16 95 40 26 44 NW 6 1 5852 NW 14 71765 G 01/20-17 95 40 23 52 NW 6 6 2 1 N12 5607 NW 15 72933 G 01/20-18 95 30 20 73 W 10 1 4671 NW 15 59701 F 01/20-19 95 30 18 78 W 9 1 3735 NW 14 46470 F 01/20-20 95 30 17 82 W 9 9 2 1 NW10 2799 W 14 33238 P 01/20-21 95 30 15 88 W 9 1 2154 W 13 25177 P 01/20-22 95 30 13 95 W 8 1 1508 W 13 17116 P 01/20-23 72 20 12 97 W 8 8 2 1 W 7 863 W 12 9056 P 01/21-00 72 20 11 98 W 7 1 673 W 10 6531 P 01/21-01 72 20 10 98 SW 6 1 482 W 8 4007 P 01/21-02 72 20 9 99 SW 3 3 2 1 W21 292 W 6 1483 P 01/21-03 72 20 9 100 SW 3 1 277 SW 6 1335 P 01/21-04 72 20 8 100 S 3 1 262 SW 6 1188 P 01/21-05 72 20 9 99 S 5 5 4 1 W33 247 SW 5 1040 P 01/21-06 72 20 9 99 S 5 1 280 SW 6 1355 P 01/21-07 72 20 10 100 S 5 1 314 SW 6 1669 P 01/21-08 95 20 13 92 S 5 5 2 1 W36 347 SW 7 1984 P 01/21-09 95 20 17 78 S 5 1 1116 SW 9 12055 P 01/21-10 95 20 21 69 SW 5 1 1884 SW 12 22125 P 01/21-11 95 20 25 60 SW 6 6 2 1 SW38 2652 SW 14 32196 P 01/21-12 95 20 28 53 SW 7 1 3462 SW 17 55795 F 01/21-13 95 20 30 48 SW 8 1 4272 SW 21 79394 G 01/21-14 95 20 31 46 SW 10 10 2 1 SW41 5082 SW 23 102994 V 01/21-15 95 30 30 48 SW 10 1 4182 SW 21 80382 G 01/21-16 95 30 28 53 SW 10 1 3281 SW 20 57771 F 01/21-17 95 30 25 60 SW 10 10 2 1 SW45 2381 SW 17 35159 P 01/21-18 95 30 23 62 SW 9 1 1762 SW 15 25000 P 01/21-19 95 30 21 62 SW 7 1 1143 S 13 14841 P 01/21-20 95 30 19 63 S 6 6 2 1 SW47 525 S 10 4681 P 01/21-21 80 30 17 67 S 7 1 420 S 9 3649 P 01/21-22 80 30 16 73 S 7 1 315 S 9 2616 P 01/21-23 80 30 15 79 SE 8 8 2 1 SW51 210 S 9 1584 P 01/22-00 80 30 13 82 S 8 1 190 S 9 1508 P 01/22-01 80 30 13 83 S 9 1 171 S 9 1432 P 01/22-02 80 30 12 86 S 9 9 2 1 SW58 152 S 10 1356 P 01/22-03 80 30 12 93 S 9 1 150 S 10 1352 P 01/22-04 80 30 11 97 S 9 1 148 S 10 1349 P 01/22-05 83 50 11 97 S 9 9 2 1 SW64 146 S 10 1345 P 01/22-06 83 50 12 97 S 9 1 171 S 12 1638 P 01/22-07 83 50 13 97 S 9 1 195 S 12 1932 P 01/22-08 83 50 17 89 S 9 9 2 1 SW55 219 S 12 2226 P 01/22-09 83 50 22 78 S 9 1 1649 S 18 44145 F 01/22-10 83 50 26 69 S 9 1 3080 S 25 86063 G 01/22-11 83 50 30 59 S 8 8 2 1 S46 4510 SW 32 127982 V 01/22-12 83 50 33 49 SW 8 1 5307 SW 32 144701 V 01/22-13 83 50 36 41 SW 8 1 6105 SW 31 161420 E 01/22-14 83 50 37 37 SW 8 8 2 1 SW36 6902 SW 30 178140 E 01/22-15 83 50 36 38 SW 8 1 6842 SW 28 161891 E 01/22-16 83 50 34 42 SW 8 1 6781 W 24 145643 V 01/22-17 89 50 30 51 SW 8 8 2 1 SW25 6721 W 22 129394 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...NICK COLLARD REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100120.FRISC.01/BOU