FNUS75 KGJT 210443
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK RIDGE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
943 PM MST WED JAN 20 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG DISTURBANCE WILL BE AFFECTING BURN SITE WEATHER
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL START THURSDAY MORNING AND BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD AS THE DAY PROGRESSES WITH THE RAIN/SNOW LINE
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 6500 FEET. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
FRIDAY NIGHT COULD REACH AS HIGH AS 12 TO 16 INCHES...ESPECIALLY
AT HIGH ELEVATIONS. WINDS WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE AS THEY
INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE. IN RESPONSE...A WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE ABOVE REASONS VALID FROM NOON THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    BECOMING 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AFTER 12 PM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING FAIR BY MID-MORNING AND THEN GOOD
                    AFTER 12PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL BECOMING 3000 FT FROM 1200 TO
                    1700.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 38 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN METZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100120.BLACK.02/GJT