FNUS76 KMTR 210344
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUBLE BOW KNOT BURN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MONTEREY CA
744 PM PST WED JAN 20 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...UNSETTLED WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY...

DISCUSSION...BROAD LOW PRESSURE ALOFT IN THE GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES
TO SEND PERIODIC FRONTAL PASSAGES WITH STEADY RAIN FOLLOWED BY
POST-FRONTAL SHOWER ACTIVITY ONTO THE CALIFORNIA COAST. ANOTHER
COLD-FRONT WILL BE MOVING DOWN THE COAST PAST THE BURN AREA THURSDAY.
RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY IS STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH A
LITTLE BREAK AROUND DAWN THURSDAY. HOWEVER...THE BURN AREA IS ON THE
NORTH EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD AND STEADY RAIN WILL DEVELOP
SHORTLY AFTER THE PROJECTED BURN START TIME. A BRIEF RESPITE FROM THE
MORE SIGNIFICANT FRONTAL PASSAGES WILL OCCUR LATE SATURDAY AND EARLY
SUNDAY...BUT RAIN IS AGAIN EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OVER THE BURN
AREA AS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF ANOTHER FRONT BRUSHES THE NORTH
BAY COUNTIES.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 930 PST 1/21/10(THURSDAY)
SKY/WEATHER............CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
                    TEMPERATURE............46-48...HIGH 49-52
                    HUMIDITY........90 PCT...MIN 78-83 PCT
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST 8-10 MPH
WIND (20 FT).........SOUTHEAST 13-18 MPH
CWR....................80 PCT
MARINE LAYER........NONE

FOR TONIGHT (THURSDAY NIGHT)
SKY/WEATHER............
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-43
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PCT
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....EAST 10-13 MPH
WIND (20 FT).........EAST 13-18 MPH
CWR....................75 PCT
MARINE LAYER........NONE

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER............
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-55
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PCT
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH
WIND (20 FT).........NORTHWEST 10-13 MPH
CWR....................50 PCT
MARINE LAYER........NONE

FORECASTER...GUDGEL

$$

REQUESTED BY...TIM WALSH
REASON FOR REQUEST...ESSENTIAL TO PUBLIC SAFETY, E.G. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF
POPULATION CENTERS OR CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.