FNUS72 KMLB 211122
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4 2...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
622 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT BRISK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE...AND
INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH DISPERSION VALUES WILL RESULT. SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL LIKELY REACH THE BURN SITE BY LATE AFTERNOON...BUT
PROBABLY NOT UNTIL 4 TO 6 PM. HOWEVER...A FEW CELLS COULD FORM
OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN BAND...SO THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
PRECIP STARTING AROUND 2 PM. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST
AS THE MAIN PRECIP BAND PASSES THROUGH BY THIS EVENING.

DON'T ANTICIPATE VISIBILITY PROBLEMS TONIGHT AS MIXING HEIGHTS
WILL REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE FOR NIGHTTIME...AND SURFACE WINDS STAY
NEAR OR ABOVE 10 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25
                    TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....83.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............72  73  75  77  77  77  76  75  74  73  72  71
RH..............81  79  74  71  71  71  74  76  79  81  84  84
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..15  17  18  20  20  20  18  17  15  14  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.20  25  25  30  30  30  25  25  20  20  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3 UNTIL 0100...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1100 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 23
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.
LVORI...............5.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS
                    THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0700...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 28 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT VERNACHIO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100121.UNIT4.01/MLB