FNUS75 KBOU 220432 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 930 PM MST THU JAN 21 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. THROUGH FRIDAY. HOWEVER...A LOT OF THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH WILL BE WRUNG OUT OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO. AS A RESULT...THERE SHOULD BE JUST A FEW SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AREA FRIDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY AFTERNOON...SO VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION IS FORECAST. THE BREEZY CONDITIONS AND VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSION WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........49%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 18-28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 38 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5800-6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....22. MAX HUMIDITY........62%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST 19-29 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 13-19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0400...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12-19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 7400-8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 8800-9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 5800-6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/22-05 82 21 29 82 SW 6 6 2 1 S40 382 SW 14 4497 P 01/22-06 82 21 29 83 SW 6 1 455 SW 16 6976 P 01/22-07 82 21 29 83 SW 6 1 527 SW 20 9456 P 01/22-08 82 21 30 80 SW 6 6 2 1 S39 599 SW 23 11935 P 01/22-09 82 21 33 70 SW 6 1 2157 SW 24 46160 F 01/22-10 82 21 36 61 SW 7 1 3716 SW 24 80385 G 01/22-11 71 18 38 58 SW 9 9 2 1 SW73 5274 SW 25 114609 V 01/22-12 71 18 39 54 SW 13 1 6054 SW 26 144492 V 01/22-13 71 18 40 53 W 16 1 6834 SW 29 174376 E 01/22-14 71 18 40 52 W 20 30 2 1 W53 7614 SW 31 204259 E 01/22-15 71 18 40 49 W 23 1 6868 SW 30 181377 E 01/22-16 71 18 34 56 W 28 1 6121 SW 30 158495 E 01/22-17 68 24 34 49 W 29 43 3 1 W29 5374 SW 29 135614 V 01/22-18 68 24 32 52 W 29 1 5106 W 30 133380 V 01/22-19 68 24 31 54 W 25 1 4947 W 29 125745 V 01/22-20 68 24 29 55 W 23 35 4 1 W30 4788 W 29 118110 V 01/22-21 68 24 28 56 W 20 1 4039 W 29 100306 V 01/22-22 68 24 27 56 W 16 1 3290 W 29 82502 G 01/22-23 68 20 26 56 W 15 23 4 1 W25 2541 W 29 64698 G 01/23-00 68 20 25 57 W 15 1 2519 W 29 63436 G 01/23-01 68 20 24 59 W 16 1 2496 W 29 62174 G 01/23-02 68 20 24 60 W 16 24 4 1 W30 2473 W 29 60912 G 01/23-03 68 20 23 61 W 16 1 2909 W 31 80994 G 01/23-04 68 20 23 62 W 16 1 3346 W 35 101076 V 01/23-05 70 20 23 62 W 16 24 3 1 W35 3783 W 37 121158 V 01/23-06 70 20 23 60 W 16 1 4193 W 36 128994 V 01/23-07 70 20 23 57 W 16 1 4604 W 35 136831 V 01/23-08 70 20 25 52 W 16 24 4 1 W21 5014 W 33 144667 V 01/23-09 70 20 27 47 W 16 1 5288 W 32 149040 V 01/23-10 70 20 29 44 W 16 1 5562 W 32 153414 E 01/23-11 85 25 31 41 W 16 24 3 1 NW10 5835 NW 31 157787 E 01/23-12 85 25 33 40 W 16 1 7251 NW 28 165079 E 01/23-13 85 25 34 40 W 15 1 8666 NW 24 172370 E 01/23-14 85 25 34 40 W 15 23 3 1 N 8 10081 NW 21 179662 E 01/23-15 85 25 34 39 W 15 1 8497 NW 24 168579 E 01/23-16 85 25 32 37 W 15 1 6912 NW 28 157496 E 01/23-17 84 24 30 38 W 15 23 3 1 N10 5327 NW 31 146413 V 01/23-18 84 24 28 38 W 15 1 5217 NW 31 142608 V 01/23-19 84 24 26 40 W 15 1 5106 NW 31 138802 V 01/23-20 84 24 25 42 W 16 24 3 1 N13 4995 NW 31 134996 V 01/23-21 84 24 24 46 W 16 1 4448 NW 32 123118 V 01/23-22 84 24 22 51 W 16 1 3901 NW 33 111240 V 01/23-23 86 24 21 54 W 17 26 3 1 N14 3353 NW 35 99361 G 01/24-00 86 24 21 56 W 17 1 3134 NW 35 94082 G 01/24-01 86 24 20 57 W 17 1 2914 NW 36 88802 G 01/24-02 86 24 19 58 W 17 26 3 1 NW20 2695 W 36 83522 G 01/24-03 86 24 19 58 W 17 1 2727 NW 38 90091 G 01/24-04 86 24 19 59 NW 17 1 2759 NW 40 96659 G 01/24-05 100 24 19 59 NW 17 26 3 1 NW35 2792 NW 43 103228 V 01/24-06 100 24 19 59 NW 17 1 3086 NW 44 116702 V 01/24-07 100 24 19 61 NW 17 1 3381 NW 44 130177 V 01/24-08 100 24 21 59 NW 17 26 3 1 N22 3676 NW 45 143651 V 01/24-09 100 24 22 56 NW 18 1 3963 NW 44 148728 V 01/24-10 100 24 24 54 W 18 1 4250 NW 41 153805 E 01/24-11 75 24 25 51 W 18 28 3 1 N28 4537 NW 40 158881 E 01/24-12 75 24 26 47 W 18 1 4652 NW 40 162470 E 01/24-13 75 24 27 44 W 18 1 4768 NW 40 166058 E 01/24-14 75 24 28 42 W 18 28 2 1 N31 4883 NW 40 169646 E 01/24-15 75 24 27 41 W 18 1 4382 NW 38 146880 V 01/24-16 75 24 26 42 W 17 1 3881 NW 37 124114 V 01/24-17 68 9 24 45 W 17 26 2 1 N31 3380 NW 35 101348 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DEVIN STEAKLEY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100122.JAMES.01/BOU