FNUS75 KBOU 230507 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1005 PM MST FRI JAN 22 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL TURN MORE NORTHWESTERLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN INCREASE THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL KEEP VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSION IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE TURNING COOLER AS WELL WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DRIFTING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM THE WEST. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........38%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST 18-26 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6800 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 8000-9000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 6400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....21. MAX HUMIDITY........56%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST 18-28 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 33-40 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 36-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0300. EXCELLENT AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....23. MIN HUMIDITY........51%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST 19-26 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 41-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/23-05 39 10 26 59 W 18 28 4 1 W15 4446 W 24 93552 G 01/23-06 39 10 26 59 W 18 1 4606 W 24 98670 G 01/23-07 39 10 26 58 W 20 1 4766 W 25 103789 V 01/23-08 39 10 26 55 W 20 32 4 1 W13 4926 W 25 108907 V 01/23-09 39 10 28 51 W 20 1 5386 W 25 117780 V 01/23-10 39 10 30 45 W 22 1 5846 W 25 126652 V 01/23-11 39 10 31 41 W 24 36 3 1 W10 6306 W 24 135524 V 01/23-12 39 10 31 40 W 24 1 7353 W 24 148851 V 01/23-13 39 10 32 38 W 24 1 8401 W 23 162177 E 01/23-14 39 10 32 38 W 25 38 3 1 W 7 9449 W 22 175504 E 01/23-15 39 10 31 38 W 22 1 8452 W 25 179343 E 01/23-16 39 10 30 38 W 22 1 7455 W 29 183183 E 01/23-17 80 23 29 39 W 20 30 3 1 NW12 6459 W 33 187023 E 01/23-18 80 23 28 40 W 14 1 5274 W 35 160108 E 01/23-19 80 23 27 42 W 24 1 5188 NW 37 164920 E 01/23-20 80 23 26 43 W 24 39 3 1 N26 5101 NW 38 169731 E 01/23-21 80 23 25 44 W 25 1 4894 NW 37 158788 E 01/23-22 80 23 24 46 W 25 1 4686 NW 36 147844 V 01/23-23 72 35 23 47 W 26 43 3 1 NW21 4479 NW 36 136901 V 01/24-00 72 35 23 48 W 25 1 4353 W 36 136652 V 01/24-01 72 35 22 49 W 25 1 4228 W 37 136403 V 01/24-02 72 35 22 51 W 24 39 3 1 NW31 4103 W 38 136153 V 01/24-03 72 35 22 52 W 24 1 4333 W 44 167220 E 01/24-04 72 35 21 53 W 24 1 4564 W 49 198287 E 01/24-05 87 31 22 54 W 24 39 2 1 NW30 4795 W 55 229354 E 01/24-06 87 31 22 54 W 23 1 4874 W 55 236091 E 01/24-07 87 31 21 56 W 22 1 4952 NW 56 242829 E 01/24-08 87 31 21 56 W 21 33 2 1 NW37 5030 NW 58 249567 E 01/24-09 87 31 22 56 W 21 1 5006 NW 54 237579 E 01/24-10 87 31 22 56 W 21 1 4983 NW 52 225591 E 01/24-11 80 20 22 56 W 22 35 2 1 N20 4959 NW 49 213603 E 01/24-12 80 20 23 55 W 22 1 4837 NW 48 202677 E 01/24-13 80 20 23 55 W 22 1 4716 NW 47 191752 E 01/24-14 80 20 23 54 W 22 35 3 1 NW28 4594 NW 45 180826 E 01/24-15 80 20 23 52 W 22 1 4526 NW 46 182036 E 01/24-16 80 20 22 51 W 23 1 4457 NW 47 183246 E 01/24-17 47 4 22 51 W 23 37 3 1 N36 4389 NW 48 184456 E 01/24-18 47 4 21 52 W 23 1 4094 NW 49 176331 E 01/24-19 47 4 21 53 W 22 1 3798 NW 51 168205 E 01/24-20 47 4 20 54 W 21 33 2 1 N44 3503 NW 53 160080 E 01/24-21 47 4 20 55 W 22 1 3201 NW 51 141399 V 01/24-22 47 4 20 55 W 16 1 2900 NW 48 122717 V 01/24-23 47 4 20 54 W 16 25 3 1 N45 2598 NW 46 104036 V 01/25-00 47 4 19 55 W 16 1 2494 NW 45 97670 G 01/25-01 47 4 19 54 W 17 1 2389 NW 44 91305 G 01/25-02 47 4 19 54 W 17 28 3 1 N35 2285 NW 43 84939 G 01/25-03 47 4 19 55 W 17 1 2230 NW 41 80638 G 01/25-04 47 4 19 55 W 17 1 2176 NW 40 76338 G 01/25-05 48 0 19 55 W 17 28 2 1 N24 2122 NW 39 72037 G 01/25-06 48 0 19 55 W 17 1 2309 NW 35 68763 G 01/25-07 48 0 20 53 W 16 1 2497 NW 31 65490 G 01/25-08 48 0 22 49 W 15 24 2 1 NW22 2685 NW 26 62216 G 01/25-09 48 0 24 46 W 14 1 3416 NW 25 74753 G 01/25-10 48 0 25 44 W 13 1 4147 NW 24 87290 G 01/25-11 48 0 27 42 W 12 12 2 1 NW28 4878 NW 23 99827 G 01/25-12 48 0 29 40 W 12 1 4975 NW 23 98357 G 01/25-13 48 0 30 39 W 10 1 5072 NW 22 96888 G 01/25-14 48 0 30 39 W 10 10 2 1 N45 5169 NW 21 95419 G 01/25-15 48 0 30 38 W 9 1 4741 NW 20 80592 G 01/25-16 48 0 29 38 W 9 1 4312 NW 17 65765 G 01/25-17 46 0 28 39 W 9 9 2 1 NW56 3884 NW 15 50938 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DEVIN STEAKLEY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100123.JAMES.01/BOU