FNUS75 KBOU 242242 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF 54C...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 335 PM MST SUN JAN 24 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER COLORADO MONDAY WILL WEAKEN MONDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER RIDGE MOVES OVER THE STATE. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL PASS BY TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A BIT LESS WIND OVER THE AREA TUESDAY THAN ON MONDAY. MOST OF THE MOISTURE WITH THIS NEXT TROUGH WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE DIVIDE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-34. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....19-22. MAX HUMIDITY........45-55%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 400-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-40. MIN HUMIDITY........22-28%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 8-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200. VERY GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF 54C. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/24-15 86 20 26 48 W 21 1 5226 NW 51 232131 E 01/24-16 86 20 24 50 W 21 1 4945 NW 51 219067 E 01/24-17 80 5 21 56 W 22 35 2 1 N66 4665 NW 51 206003 E 01/24-18 80 5 19 60 W 21 1 4085 NW 49 178001 E 01/24-19 80 5 18 62 W 21 1 3506 NW 49 149999 V 01/24-20 80 5 16 65 W 20 31 2 1 N62 2927 NW 48 121997 V 01/24-21 80 5 15 68 W 20 1 2588 W 49 109493 V 01/24-22 80 5 14 72 W 18 1 2249 W 49 96988 G 01/24-23 59 10 13 74 W 18 30 2 1 NW47 1910 W 51 84484 G 01/25-00 59 10 12 76 W 18 1 1645 W 49 71841 G 01/25-01 59 10 11 77 W 18 1 1381 W 49 59199 F 01/25-02 59 10 11 78 W 20 31 3 1 NW60 1116 W 48 46557 F 01/25-03 59 10 10 80 W 20 1 1063 W 48 44138 F 01/25-04 59 10 10 80 W 21 1 1010 W 47 41719 F 01/25-05 55 5 10 81 W 21 33 3 1 NW71 957 W 47 39300 P 01/25-06 55 5 10 79 W 21 1 1003 W 45 38774 P 01/25-07 55 5 12 75 W 21 1 1048 W 43 38249 P 01/25-08 55 5 15 66 W 21 33 2 1 NW74 1094 W 39 37723 P 01/25-09 55 5 19 60 W 20 1 1543 NW 38 50733 F 01/25-10 55 5 22 56 W 20 1 1993 NW 37 63742 G 01/25-11 55 5 25 43 W 18 30 2 1 NW64 2442 NW 36 76752 G 01/25-12 55 5 28 39 W 17 1 2820 NW 36 87612 G 01/25-13 55 5 30 36 W 16 1 3199 NW 36 98472 G 01/25-14 55 5 31 36 W 15 24 2 1 NW61 3577 NW 36 109332 V 01/25-15 55 5 31 36 W 13 1 3427 NW 33 100280 V 01/25-16 55 5 30 38 W 12 1 3278 NW 32 91227 G 01/25-17 20 2 28 45 W 10 10 2 1 NW55 3128 NW 30 82174 G 01/25-18 20 2 27 49 W 10 1 2795 NW 26 66545 G 01/25-19 20 2 25 52 W 9 1 2463 NW 23 50916 F 01/25-20 20 2 24 55 W 9 9 2 1 NW48 2130 NW 20 35287 P 01/25-21 20 2 23 59 W 9 1 1860 NW 17 28694 P 01/25-22 20 2 22 62 W 9 1 1590 W 15 22101 P 01/25-23 15 0 22 64 W 12 12 2 1 NW41 1321 W 14 15507 P 01/26-00 15 0 21 66 W 12 1 1093 W 13 12541 P 01/26-01 15 0 21 67 W 12 1 865 W 13 9575 P 01/26-02 15 0 20 68 W 12 12 2 1 NW35 637 W 12 6608 P 01/26-03 15 0 20 69 W 9 1 528 W 12 5483 P 01/26-04 15 0 20 70 W 9 1 418 W 12 4357 P 01/26-05 29 0 20 69 W 9 9 2 1 NW38 309 W 12 3232 P 01/26-06 29 0 20 69 W 9 1 379 W 14 4604 P 01/26-07 29 0 21 65 W 9 1 449 W 15 5976 P 01/26-08 29 0 24 59 W 10 10 2 1 W33 519 W 16 7348 P 01/26-09 29 0 27 53 W 12 1 959 W 17 14979 P 01/26-10 29 0 30 49 W 9 1 1399 W 18 22609 P 01/26-11 68 6 32 45 W 7 7 2 1 W41 1838 W 18 30240 P 01/26-12 68 6 34 42 W 7 1 2801 W 24 65936 G 01/26-13 68 6 36 41 W 7 1 3764 W 29 101633 V 01/26-14 68 6 37 40 W 7 7 2 1 W47 4726 W 33 137330 V 01/26-15 68 6 36 41 W 7 1 4336 W 35 130830 V 01/26-16 68 6 34 43 W 8 1 3945 W 37 124330 V 01/26-17 77 10 31 49 W 9 9 2 1 W38 3555 W 38 117830 V 01/26-18 77 10 28 55 W 10 1 2939 W 39 98231 G 01/26-19 77 10 26 61 W 12 1 2323 W 39 78631 G 01/26-20 77 10 24 66 W 9 9 2 1 W38 1707 W 40 59032 F 01/26-21 77 10 23 73 W 9 1 1331 W 36 43759 F 01/26-22 77 10 21 78 W 12 1 954 W 31 28485 P 01/26-23 80 10 20 83 W 10 10 2 1 W47 578 W 26 13212 P 01/27-00 80 10 19 88 W 10 1 495 W 23 10360 P 01/27-01 80 10 18 91 W 10 1 412 W 20 7509 P 01/27-02 80 10 17 94 W 10 10 2 1 W53 330 W 16 4657 P 01/27-03 80 10 17 97 W 9 1 328 W 15 4211 P 01/27-04 80 10 16 98 W 9 1 326 W 14 3766 P 01/27-05 88 10 16 98 W 12 12 2 1 W53 324 W 12 3320 P 01/27-06 88 10 17 97 W 10 1 363 W 10 3370 P 01/27-07 88 10 17 96 W 10 1 402 W 10 3420 P 01/27-08 88 10 19 87 W 9 9 2 1 W37 441 W 9 3470 P 01/27-09 88 10 22 78 SW 8 1 1063 W 9 7918 P 01/27-10 88 10 24 71 S 9 1 1686 SW 8 12367 P 01/27-11 94 24 26 65 SE 8 8 2 1 W31 2309 SW 8 16815 P 01/27-12 94 24 28 62 E 9 1 2712 SW 8 18745 P 01/27-13 94 24 29 61 E 10 1 3116 SW 8 20674 P 01/27-14 94 24 30 62 E 12 12 2 1 W35 3520 SW 7 22603 P 01/27-15 94 24 30 62 E 10 1 3285 SW 7 18881 P 01/27-16 94 24 28 64 E 9 1 3051 S 6 15158 P 01/27-17 95 42 26 69 E 6 6 2 1 W33 2816 S 5 11435 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100125.SUGAR.01/BOU