FNUS73 KDDC 261143 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR NATURE TRAIL...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 543 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON JANUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXISTS OVER THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING WHICH WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TOWARD THE EAST THROUGH THE MORNING. THIS WILL LEAD TO A WEAKENING OF THE SURFACE WINDS THROUGH THE PROPOSED IGNITION TIME AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST UP TO 10 MPH THROUGH 11AM THEN VARIABLE LESS THAN 6 MPH FROM APPROXIMATELY 11AM THROUGH 3PM AND THEN BECOME SOUTH UP TO 10 MPH THROUGH SUNSET. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY SO OBVIOUSLY PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED. -WRIGHT .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-3100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........20 23 32 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............26 36 42 43 RH..............62 43 36 38 20 FT WIND......NW 5 W 3 SW 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 5 W 3 SW 5 S 6 WIND GUST.. 5 10 15 HAINES INDEX....5 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29. MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........53 59 68 74 75 76 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 35 34 32 31 30 RH..............52 56 61 69 72 75 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 15 15 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 S 6 WIND GUST..15 10 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 17 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........77 80 84 87 88 89 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............29 29 35 41 44 45 RH..............81 85 66 52 49 47 20 FT WIND......S 2 W 2 NW 5 N 10 N 12 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 25 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2 W 2 NW 5 N 10 N 12 N 10 WIND GUST..5 10 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WRIGHT REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100126.NATUR.01/DDC