FNUS72 KJAX 261223
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOGHOUSE-BIG GUM SWAMP...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
723 AM EST TUE JAN 26 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR IN PLACE TODAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH WINDS GUSTING
UP TO 25 TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA. INITIAL WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL BECOME WESTERLY BY 9 TO 10 AM AND CONTINUE TO INCREASE.

ON WEDNESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE 10 MPH OR LESS AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO NORTHEAST
FLORIDA.

MOISTURE LEVELS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM AND RED
FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS
WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH ON THURSDAY WITH A RETURN TO GUSTY SOUTHWEST
15 TO 20 MPH ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 13 TO 18 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO MAXIMUM NEAR 4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....83.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........22     22     20     16     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     56     62     64     60
RH..............68     40     29     27     33
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 13   W 18   W 17   W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     30     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....800    2500   4100   4100   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12   W 22   W 30   W 30   W 24
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 24 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........8      1      2      2      8      4
WEATHER COV.....                                   PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST
TEMP............54     46     42     40     38     36
RH..............42     61     71     76     78     79
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 6    W 5    NW 5   NW 3   NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10            5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   900    600    600    300    500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 24   W 14   NW 7   NW 7   NW 5   N 8
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100126.HOGHO.01/JAX