FNUS75 KBOU 262230 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF 54C...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 330 PM MST TUE JAN 26 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE ON TUESDAY WITH SNOW CHANCES INCREASING AFTER 1700. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AN WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR THROUGH THE DAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....19. MAX HUMIDITY........84%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 13-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33. MIN HUMIDITY........55%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 0500...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. MAX HUMIDITY........81%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....31. MIN HUMIDITY........64%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF 54C. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/26-15 76 0 34 38 W 10 1 3543 W 32 99026 G 01/26-16 76 0 33 41 W 13 1 3021 W 31 82432 G 01/26-17 92 10 30 45 W 14 22 2 1 W41 2499 W 30 65838 G 01/26-18 92 10 29 50 W 14 1 2268 W 30 59305 F 01/26-19 92 10 27 54 W 15 1 2037 W 30 52772 F 01/26-20 92 10 26 57 W 15 24 2 1 W45 1806 W 30 46239 F 01/26-21 92 10 24 61 W 16 1 1483 W 31 38724 P 01/26-22 92 10 23 64 W 17 1 1160 W 31 31210 P 01/26-23 92 10 22 66 W 18 30 2 1 W46 837 W 32 23695 P 01/27-00 92 10 22 63 W 18 1 752 W 31 20597 P 01/27-01 92 10 21 59 W 18 1 668 W 30 17499 P 01/27-02 92 10 20 56 W 17 28 2 1 W53 583 W 29 14401 P 01/27-03 92 10 20 55 W 17 1 575 W 26 13328 P 01/27-04 92 10 20 58 W 16 1 566 W 25 12254 P 01/27-05 92 10 20 67 W 16 25 2 1 W48 558 W 23 11181 P 01/27-06 92 10 20 84 W 15 1 660 W 20 10830 P 01/27-07 92 10 21 84 W 15 1 762 W 16 10480 P 01/27-08 92 10 22 79 W 13 13 2 1 W38 864 W 14 10129 P 01/27-09 92 10 25 71 W 9 1 1491 W 13 16119 P 01/27-10 92 10 27 64 W 6 1 2118 W 13 22109 P 01/27-11 91 10 29 59 W 2 2 2 1 W41 2745 W 12 28100 P 01/27-12 91 10 30 57 NW 2 1 3369 W 12 32227 P 01/27-13 91 10 31 56 NE 2 1 3993 SW 10 36355 P 01/27-14 91 20 32 57 E 3 3 2 1 W56 4617 SW 10 40483 F 01/27-15 91 20 32 57 E 3 1 4168 SW 9 33825 P 01/27-16 91 20 31 60 E 3 1 3720 S 8 27167 P 01/27-17 92 56 29 65 E 6 6 2 1 W63 3271 S 7 20510 P 01/27-18 92 56 27 64 E 6 1 1014 SE 7 7510 P 01/27-19 92 56 26 64 E 6 1 1596 S 8 12885 P 01/27-20 92 56 25 69 SE 5 5 2 1 W46 2179 S 9 18259 P 01/27-21 92 56 24 67 E 5 1 2220 S 9 17438 P 01/27-22 92 56 24 65 E 6 1 2260 S 8 16616 P 01/27-23 96 63 23 65 E 6 6 2 1 W37 2301 SE 8 15795 P 01/28-00 96 63 23 67 E 6 1 2189 SE 7 12863 P 01/28-01 96 63 22 74 E 5 1 2078 SE 6 9931 P 01/28-02 96 63 22 72 E 5 5 2 1 SW36 1966 SE 5 6998 P 01/28-03 96 63 22 68 E 5 1 2007 SE 5 7599 P 01/28-04 96 63 22 71 E 6 1 2048 SE 5 8199 P 01/28-05 86 33 21 71 E 6 6 2 1 SW29 2089 SE 5 8799 P 01/28-06 86 33 21 72 E 6 1 2202 SE 5 9404 P 01/28-07 86 33 21 75 NE 7 1 2315 E 5 10009 P 01/28-08 86 33 21 81 NE 7 7 2 1 SW23 2427 E 5 10614 P 01/28-09 86 33 22 86 NE 7 1 2822 SE 6 13967 P 01/28-10 86 33 25 80 E 8 1 3217 SE 6 17320 P 01/28-11 78 23 27 76 E 8 8 2 1 SW18 3611 SE 7 20673 P 01/28-12 78 23 29 73 E 8 1 3936 SE 6 18203 P 01/28-13 78 23 30 70 E 8 1 4261 S 5 15734 P 01/28-14 78 23 31 68 E 8 8 2 1 SW18 4586 S 3 13264 P 01/28-15 78 23 30 66 E 7 1 4275 S 3 12703 P 01/28-16 78 23 30 65 E 6 1 3964 W 3 12142 P 01/28-17 55 3 28 64 E 5 5 2 1 W12 3652 NW 3 11581 P 01/28-18 55 3 27 67 SE 3 1 3404 NW 3 10764 P 01/28-19 55 3 25 72 CALM 1 3157 NW 3 9947 P 01/28-20 55 3 24 76 CALM 1 2 1 NW12 2909 N 3 9129 P 01/28-21 55 3 23 75 SW 2 1 2653 NW 5 9877 P 01/28-22 55 3 23 73 W 5 1 2396 NW 6 10625 P 01/28-23 32 0 22 70 W 7 7 2 1 NW15 2140 NW 6 11373 P 01/29-00 32 0 22 68 W 8 1 1873 NW 7 11124 P 01/29-01 32 0 21 65 W 8 1 1606 NW 8 10875 P 01/29-02 32 0 21 63 W 9 16 2 1 N14 1339 NW 9 10626 P 01/29-03 32 0 21 60 W 10 1 1232 NW 9 9793 P 01/29-04 32 0 20 58 W 12 1 1126 NW 9 8959 P 01/29-05 48 0 20 58 W 13 22 3 1 N31 1019 NW 9 8126 P 01/29-06 48 0 20 58 W 14 1 976 NW 9 7692 P 01/29-07 48 0 20 59 W 14 1 934 W 9 7259 P 01/29-08 48 0 21 59 W 15 25 3 1 N29 891 W 9 6826 P 01/29-09 48 0 23 55 W 15 1 1514 W 9 13151 P 01/29-10 48 0 26 50 W 15 1 2138 NW 10 19477 P 01/29-11 48 0 30 45 W 15 25 3 1 N30 2761 NW 10 25802 P 01/29-12 48 0 32 43 W 15 1 3121 NW 13 36612 P 01/29-13 48 0 33 41 W 15 1 3481 NW 15 47423 F 01/29-14 48 0 34 41 W 14 23 2 1 N33 3842 NW 17 58233 F 01/29-15 48 0 34 41 W 14 1 3424 NW 18 53527 F 01/29-16 48 0 32 42 W 14 1 3006 NW 18 48821 F 01/29-17 49 0 31 44 W 13 22 2 1 NW35 2589 NW 20 44115 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100127.SUGAR.01/BOU