FNUS73 KPAH 271313 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMPGROUND...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 713 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... PLEASANT CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BRING MILD AIR INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER OHIO VALLEYS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...GIVING US A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION. ONLY TRACE TO VERY LIGHT AMOUNTS OF ANY TYPE OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED. AFTER A DRY AND COLDER THURSDAY...OUR NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE REGION. AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE GULF COAST PUMPS MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. SNOW WILL SPREAD FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE THURSDAY NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE...WITH 6 INCHES OR GREATER POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSOURI/ARKANSAS AND KENTUCKY/TENNESSEE BORDERS. THOUGH SOME AREAS COULD SEE THE PRECIPITATION START AS A BRIEF WINTRY MIX...THIS WILL BE PRIMARILY A SNOW EVENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........26 AT IGNITION...MAX 45. MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 600-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............26 29 33 36 39 41 43 44 43 41 RH..............80 73 65 60 55 52 51 51 54 59 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 10 10 12 13 14 15 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN FZDRZL FZDRZL FZDRZL TEMP............39 35 33 32 29 28 RH..............66 74 78 80 84 84 20 FT WIND......S 5 SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1900 1700 1500 1500 1500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 SW 20 SW 22 W 24 W 25 NW 26 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............27 29 30 31 RH..............80 71 62 56 20 FT WIND......NW 6G15 N 6G15 N 6G15 N 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 2400 3000 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..N 25 N 21 N 16 N 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100127.CAMPG.01/PAH