FNUS75 KBOU 291540 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 840 AM MST FRI JAN 29 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BE MOVING EAST AND CENTERED OVER THE STATE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A SURFACE LEE TROUGH WILL BEGIN SETTING UP BY TONIGHT AND LAST THROUGH SATURDAY AS WELL. THEREFORE EXPECT WARMER...DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR OVER THE BURN AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 8-10 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY. RH RECOVERY IS NOT EXPECT TO BE AS GOOD AS LAST NIGHT FOR THE NEXT TWO NIGHTS AS WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE LEE SURFACE TROUGH. THE PARTLY CLOUDY SKY COVERAGE WILL BE HIGH CLOUDS. SMOKE DISPERSION SHOULD IMPROVE SUNDAY WHEN A SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEARS THE AREA AND HELPS PROVIDE LIFT TO MIX THE AIRMASS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....35. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....23. MAX HUMIDITY........57%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....39. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/29-08 28 0 20 78 W 10 10 3 1 N32 272 W 10 2514 P 01/29-09 12 0 24 66 W 9 1 1618 NW 13 20461 P 01/29-10 12 0 30 52 W 7 1 2963 NW 14 38407 P 01/29-11 19 0 34 44 W 5 5 3 1 N24 4309 N 15 56353 F 01/29-12 19 0 35 42 W 3 1 4047 N 15 50980 F 01/29-13 19 0 33 46 W 3 1 3785 NW 14 45607 F 01/29-14 19 0 32 47 W 3 3 3 1 N25 3523 NW 13 40234 F 01/29-15 19 0 32 47 W 5 1 2571 NW 12 28159 P 01/29-16 19 0 29 51 W 6 1 1618 NW 9 16084 P 01/29-17 40 0 25 57 W 7 7 2 1 N39 666 W 7 4008 P 01/29-18 40 0 24 57 W 8 1 694 W 7 4420 P 01/29-19 40 0 24 54 W 8 1 723 W 8 4831 P 01/29-20 40 0 25 47 W 9 9 2 1 N38 751 W 8 5243 P 01/29-21 40 0 24 47 W 9 1 660 W 8 4818 P 01/29-22 40 0 23 47 W 10 1 568 W 9 4392 P 01/29-23 54 0 23 44 W 10 10 2 1 N29 476 W 9 3967 P 01/30-00 54 0 23 43 W 12 1 463 W 10 4025 P 01/30-01 54 0 23 42 W 12 1 450 W 10 4083 P 01/30-02 54 0 24 42 W 13 13 2 1 NW28 438 W 10 4141 P 01/30-03 54 0 24 41 W 13 1 392 W 12 3831 P 01/30-04 54 0 25 41 W 14 1 346 W 12 3521 P 01/30-05 35 0 25 42 W 13 13 2 1 NW35 301 W 13 3212 P 01/30-06 35 0 24 39 W 12 1 273 W 12 2788 P 01/30-07 35 0 24 42 W 12 1 246 W 10 2364 P 01/30-08 35 0 23 46 W 10 10 2 1 NW36 218 W 10 1940 P 01/30-09 35 0 27 42 W 9 1 887 W 10 8519 P 01/30-10 35 0 32 36 W 7 1 1556 W 10 15097 P 01/30-11 35 0 35 33 W 6 6 2 1 NW35 2225 W 12 21676 P 01/30-12 35 0 39 29 W 5 1 2317 W 13 24656 P 01/30-13 35 0 36 32 W 5 1 2409 W 13 27635 P 01/30-14 35 0 36 33 W 5 5 3 1 NW32 2502 W 14 30614 P 01/30-15 35 0 35 33 W 5 1 1792 W 12 21166 P 01/30-16 35 0 33 37 W 5 1 1082 W 9 11718 P 01/30-17 41 0 29 44 W 6 6 4 1 NW28 372 W 7 2271 P 01/30-18 41 0 27 48 W 7 1 328 W 8 2123 P 01/30-19 41 0 27 49 W 8 1 285 W 8 1976 P 01/30-20 41 0 28 49 W 9 9 4 1 W20 241 W 9 1829 P 01/30-21 41 0 26 54 W 9 1 214 W 8 1589 P 01/30-22 41 0 25 59 W 8 1 187 W 8 1349 P 01/30-23 41 0 26 59 W 8 8 4 1 SW20 160 W 8 1109 P 01/31-00 41 0 26 60 W 8 1 152 W 8 1064 P 01/31-01 41 0 25 61 W 8 1 144 W 8 1020 P 01/31-02 41 0 25 62 W 8 8 3 1 SW30 137 W 8 976 P 01/31-03 41 0 25 61 W 8 1 135 W 9 1041 P 01/31-04 41 0 26 60 W 9 1 134 W 9 1107 P 01/31-05 62 0 25 60 W 10 16 4 1 SW37 132 W 10 1173 P 01/31-06 62 0 25 61 W 12 1 162 W 12 1677 P 01/31-07 62 0 24 61 W 13 1 192 W 13 2182 P 01/31-08 62 0 26 57 W 14 21 2 1 SW39 222 W 14 2686 P 01/31-09 62 0 28 51 W 16 1 1272 W 18 28432 P 01/31-10 62 0 31 44 W 17 1 2323 W 23 54178 F 01/31-11 75 8 34 40 W 20 30 2 1 S38 3374 SW 28 79923 G 01/31-12 75 8 36 37 W 22 1 3871 SW 35 121859 V 01/31-13 75 8 34 41 W 23 1 4369 SW 41 163794 E 01/31-14 75 8 34 43 W 25 38 2 1 S55 4866 W 48 205730 E 01/31-15 75 8 33 43 W 28 1 4554 W 48 189664 E 01/31-16 75 8 31 46 W 29 1 4241 W 47 173598 E 01/31-17 83 22 28 48 W 31 47 2 1 SW61 3929 W 46 157532 E 01/31-18 83 22 27 50 W 32 1 3941 W 45 151766 E 01/31-19 83 22 27 50 W 33 1 3953 W 43 146000 V 01/31-20 83 22 28 50 W 35 52 2 1 NW22 3965 W 40 140234 V 01/31-21 83 22 27 53 W 36 1 3445 W 40 122076 V 01/31-22 83 22 26 55 W 37 1 2925 W 41 103918 V 01/31-23 83 22 26 54 W 37 55 3 1 W13 2405 W 41 85760 G 02/01-00 83 22 26 53 W 36 1 2401 W 38 80414 G 02/01-01 83 22 26 52 W 33 1 2396 W 36 75068 G 02/01-02 83 22 25 52 W 32 48 3 1 W23 2392 W 33 69723 G 02/01-03 83 22 25 52 W 31 1 2751 W 35 84514 G 02/01-04 83 22 26 51 W 31 1 3111 W 37 99306 G 02/01-05 52 3 26 53 W 31 47 2 1 NW37 3471 W 38 114097 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100129.JAMES.01/BOU