FNUS72 KTAE 291256 FWSTAE SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 55...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 756 AM EST FRI JAN 29 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 EST ON JANUARY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835. NOTE: PLEASE TRY TO GET ALL SPOT REQUESTS IN AT LEAST 30 MINUTES BEFORE THE SCHEDULED IGNITION TIME. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES WILL FALL OUT OF A MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK TODAY. A SURFACE LOW WILL MIGRATE FROM THE NORTHERN GULF AND CROSS OUR REGION OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES. MOIST LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL PROVIDE AMPLE MOISTURE TO KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AND SPREAD WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND THEN WEST BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL MOVE COOLER DRIER AIR INTO OUR AREA. ON SUNDAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT BUT AT THIS -TIME...DURATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE LONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT A RED FLAG WATCH. THIS MAY NEED TO BE CHANGED IN FUTURE FORECASTS AS DETAILS BECOME MORE DEFINED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. MIN HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 48. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............48 53 57 65 63 62 RH..............94 74 66 59 66 72 20 FT WIND......SE 2 E 6 E 7 SE 8 SE 8 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. CWR.................70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 13. $$ FORECASTER...WOOL REQUESTED BY...DANIEL CEDENO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100129.BURNU.01/TAE