FNUS75 KBOU 311608 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 906 AM MST SUN JAN 31 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL AID MIXING AND PROVIDE FOR GOOD TO VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A CHANCE SURFACE WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE WEAKER TODAY...BUT ENOUGH HEATING IS STILL EXPECTED TO LOFT THE SMOKE PLUME INTO THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES BY...AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND THE DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THIS EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34. MIN HUMIDITY........46%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....21. MAX HUMIDITY........71%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST 21-31 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....36. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST 22-32 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK RFB 9. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/31-08 63 0 27 57 W 5 9 4 1 SW51 317 W 12 3099 P 01/31-09 63 0 28 54 W 7 1 982 W 16 19866 P 01/31-10 63 0 30 51 W 9 1 1647 W 22 36632 P 01/31-11 68 5 31 49 W 11 18 3 1 SW47 2313 SW 26 53399 F 01/31-12 68 5 32 47 W 12 1 3085 SW 28 77071 G 01/31-13 68 5 33 46 W 12 1 3858 SW 30 100743 V 01/31-14 80 5 33 46 W 12 20 2 1 SW45 4630 W 31 124415 V 01/31-15 80 5 33 47 W 12 1 4724 W 32 130178 V 01/31-16 80 5 32 48 W 12 1 4819 W 32 135941 V 01/31-17 83 37 30 52 W 12 20 2 1 SW52 4913 W 33 141704 V 01/31-18 83 37 29 56 W 12 1 4730 W 32 133594 V 01/31-19 83 37 28 59 W 15 1 4546 W 32 125484 V 01/31-20 85 37 27 62 W 16 23 2 1 SW40 4363 W 31 117374 V 01/31-21 85 37 25 65 W 17 1 3732 W 29 95873 G 01/31-22 85 37 24 68 W 20 1 3101 W 26 74372 G 01/31-23 83 23 24 69 W 21 30 3 1 W21 2470 W 24 52871 F 02/01-00 83 23 23 71 W 22 1 2408 W 28 56976 F 02/01-01 83 23 23 71 W 22 1 2345 W 30 61080 G 02/01-02 74 23 22 71 W 22 36 3 1 NW29 2282 W 33 65184 G 02/01-03 74 23 22 71 W 23 1 2224 W 37 69736 G 02/01-04 74 23 22 70 W 24 1 2165 W 39 74289 G 02/01-05 72 0 22 69 W 29 41 3 1 NW22 2107 W 43 78841 G 02/01-06 72 0 22 61 W 29 1 2805 W 35 83326 G 02/01-07 72 0 23 59 W 29 1 3069 W 33 86831 G 02/01-08 72 0 25 54 W 28 38 3 1 NW32 3332 W 31 90337 G 02/01-09 72 0 27 48 W 26 1 3971 W 30 103584 V 02/01-10 72 0 29 44 W 26 1 4609 W 30 116831 V 02/01-11 72 0 31 40 W 25 36 2 1 NW30 5248 NW 29 130079 V 02/01-12 72 0 33 36 W 25 1 5796 NW 29 146231 V 02/01-13 72 0 34 34 W 24 1 6345 NW 30 162384 E 02/01-14 72 0 35 33 W 24 36 2 1 NW30 6893 NW 30 178537 E 02/01-15 72 0 34 33 W 23 1 6311 NW 29 161037 E 02/01-16 72 0 33 34 W 23 1 5728 NW 29 143538 V 02/01-17 54 0 30 38 W 22 35 2 1 NW47 5145 NW 28 126039 V 02/01-18 54 0 28 40 W 22 1 4696 NW 25 106725 V 02/01-19 54 0 26 43 W 22 1 4247 W 23 87411 G 02/01-20 54 0 25 46 W 22 35 2 1 NW51 3798 W 21 68097 G 02/01-21 54 0 24 48 W 22 1 3234 W 20 56919 F 02/01-22 54 0 22 51 W 21 1 2670 W 20 45742 F 02/01-23 23 0 21 52 W 20 31 2 1 NW48 2106 W 18 34564 P 02/02-00 23 0 20 52 W 18 1 1851 W 17 29135 P 02/02-01 23 0 20 50 W 17 1 1597 W 17 23707 P 02/02-02 23 0 19 49 W 16 25 2 1 NW41 1343 W 16 18278 P 02/02-03 23 0 19 48 W 16 1 1199 W 16 16424 P 02/02-04 23 0 19 48 W 16 1 1055 W 16 14570 P 02/02-05 19 0 19 50 W 16 25 4 1 NW38 911 W 16 12717 P 02/02-06 19 0 19 53 W 16 1 978 W 15 12931 P 02/02-07 19 0 20 58 W 15 1 1046 W 15 13145 P 02/02-08 19 0 22 58 W 14 22 4 1 NW30 1113 W 14 13359 P 02/02-09 19 0 25 52 W 13 1 1663 W 15 22548 P 02/02-10 19 0 28 47 W 10 1 2213 W 16 31736 P 02/02-11 23 0 31 42 W 9 9 5 1 W30 2763 W 17 40924 F 02/02-12 23 0 33 38 W 9 1 3183 W 17 48572 F 02/02-13 23 0 34 35 W 9 1 3602 W 18 56220 F 02/02-14 23 0 35 34 W 9 9 5 1 W28 4022 W 18 63868 G 02/02-15 23 0 35 34 W 9 1 3174 W 17 48577 F 02/02-16 23 0 33 35 W 9 1 2327 W 15 33286 P 02/02-17 64 0 31 39 W 9 9 4 1 W26 1479 W 14 17995 P 02/02-18 64 0 29 41 W 10 1 1096 W 13 13075 P 02/02-19 64 0 27 44 W 10 1 713 W 13 8154 P 02/02-20 64 0 26 47 W 12 12 4 1 W23 330 W 12 3234 P 02/02-21 64 0 24 50 W 12 1 279 W 12 2748 P 02/02-22 64 0 23 53 W 12 1 229 W 12 2262 P 02/02-23 64 0 22 55 W 12 12 3 1 W21 178 W 12 1776 P 02/03-00 64 0 21 57 W 12 1 165 W 12 1634 P 02/03-01 64 0 21 59 W 12 1 153 W 12 1491 P 02/03-02 64 0 20 61 W 12 12 3 1 W28 140 W 12 1348 P 02/03-03 64 0 20 62 W 10 1 139 W 10 1224 P 02/03-04 64 0 20 63 W 9 1 138 W 9 1100 P 02/03-05 53 0 20 63 W 8 8 3 1 SW26 137 W 8 976 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100131.JAMES.01/BOU