FNUS75 KBOU 010033 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF 54C...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 533 PM MST SUN JAN 31 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DISTURBANCE IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY HOWEVER MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED SO THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. GUSTY WEST WINDS ON MONDAY WILL ALLOW FOR VERY GOOD DISPERSAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0500...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....21. MAX HUMIDITY........64%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........34%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29-40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....17. MAX HUMIDITY........62%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 14-21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 1000-1400 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2300. POOR AFTER 0100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 13-19 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF 54C. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/31-17 60 21 33 50 W 12 17 2 1 SW45 4910 W 37 159171 E 01/31-18 60 21 31 54 W 10 1 4807 W 36 150488 E 01/31-19 60 21 30 56 W 10 1 4703 W 35 141805 V 01/31-20 60 21 28 59 W 10 16 2 1 SW41 4599 W 33 133121 V 01/31-21 60 21 27 62 W 13 1 4361 W 31 118078 V 01/31-22 60 21 26 63 W 15 1 4122 W 29 103035 V 01/31-23 60 10 25 64 W 17 26 2 1 NW20 3884 W 26 87992 G 02/01-00 60 10 25 63 W 18 1 3686 W 29 90787 G 02/01-01 60 10 25 62 W 18 1 3488 W 31 93581 G 02/01-02 60 10 24 62 W 18 28 2 1 NW26 3291 W 33 96375 G 02/01-03 60 10 24 63 W 18 1 3218 W 36 98405 G 02/01-04 60 10 23 64 W 20 1 3145 W 37 100435 V 02/01-05 45 10 23 63 W 20 30 2 1 NW22 3072 W 38 102465 V 02/01-06 45 10 23 62 W 21 1 3199 W 39 107890 V 02/01-07 45 10 23 62 W 22 1 3325 W 39 113316 V 02/01-08 45 10 24 59 W 22 33 2 1 NW25 3452 W 39 118742 V 02/01-09 45 10 27 53 W 22 1 3975 W 37 123239 V 02/01-10 45 10 30 45 W 21 1 4498 W 33 127735 V 02/01-11 45 10 33 40 W 20 30 2 1 NW16 5020 W 30 132232 V 02/01-12 45 10 35 37 W 20 1 5438 W 29 137106 V 02/01-13 45 10 36 35 W 18 1 5855 W 28 141981 V 02/01-14 45 10 36 34 W 18 28 2 1 NW30 6272 NW 26 146855 V 02/01-15 45 10 36 34 W 18 1 5894 W 25 132644 V 02/01-16 45 10 35 35 W 18 1 5515 W 24 118433 V 02/01-17 55 0 31 39 W 18 28 2 1 NW47 5136 W 23 104223 V 02/01-18 55 0 28 44 W 17 1 4681 W 24 96620 G 02/01-19 55 0 27 47 W 18 1 4226 NW 24 89017 G 02/01-20 55 0 25 50 W 18 28 2 1 NW55 3771 NW 25 81414 G 02/01-21 55 0 23 53 W 18 1 3402 NW 25 73903 G 02/01-22 55 0 22 55 W 18 1 3032 W 25 66392 G 02/01-23 23 0 21 57 W 18 28 2 1 NW61 2663 W 25 58881 F 02/02-00 23 0 20 56 W 17 1 2269 W 23 47728 F 02/02-01 23 0 19 55 W 17 1 1874 W 22 36575 P 02/02-02 23 0 18 53 W 16 16 2 1 NW58 1479 W 20 25423 P 02/02-03 23 0 18 52 W 16 1 1346 W 20 23067 P 02/02-04 23 0 18 52 W 16 1 1213 W 20 20711 P 02/02-05 19 0 18 54 W 16 16 3 1 NW46 1080 W 20 18355 P 02/02-06 19 0 18 57 W 16 1 1115 W 18 17484 P 02/02-07 19 0 19 62 W 16 1 1150 W 17 16612 P 02/02-08 19 0 22 61 W 15 15 4 1 NW29 1185 W 15 15741 P 02/02-09 19 0 25 55 W 13 1 1743 W 16 25853 P 02/02-10 19 0 28 50 W 10 1 2301 W 17 35966 P 02/02-11 23 0 31 45 W 8 8 3 1 W28 2859 W 18 46078 F 02/02-12 23 0 34 41 W 7 1 3360 W 20 58526 F 02/02-13 23 0 35 38 W 7 1 3862 W 21 70973 G 02/02-14 23 0 36 37 W 7 7 2 1 W30 4363 W 22 83421 G 02/02-15 23 0 35 37 W 7 1 3692 W 22 69395 G 02/02-16 23 0 34 38 W 7 1 3022 W 21 55368 F 02/02-17 57 0 31 42 W 8 8 2 1 W33 2351 W 21 41342 F 02/02-18 57 0 29 45 W 9 1 1703 W 17 28914 P 02/02-19 57 0 28 47 W 10 1 1055 W 15 16485 P 02/02-20 57 0 26 50 W 12 12 2 1 W32 407 W 12 4057 P 02/02-21 57 0 24 53 W 12 1 337 W 12 3354 P 02/02-22 57 0 23 56 W 12 1 267 W 12 2650 P 02/02-23 57 0 22 58 W 12 12 2 1 W22 197 W 12 1947 P 02/03-00 57 0 21 60 W 12 1 182 W 12 1789 P 02/03-01 57 0 20 62 W 12 1 167 W 12 1631 P 02/03-02 57 0 20 63 W 12 12 2 1 SW16 152 W 12 1474 P 02/03-03 57 0 19 64 W 12 1 147 W 10 1312 P 02/03-04 57 0 19 65 W 10 1 142 W 9 1150 P 02/03-05 55 0 19 65 W 9 9 2 1 SW15 137 W 8 988 P 02/03-06 55 0 20 65 W 9 1 155 W 8 1043 P 02/03-07 55 0 21 62 W 8 1 173 W 7 1099 P 02/03-08 55 0 23 56 W 7 7 2 1 SW16 190 W 7 1154 P 02/03-09 55 0 27 49 W 7 1 815 W 6 3724 P 02/03-10 55 0 30 44 W 6 1 1440 W 6 6295 P 02/03-11 55 0 33 40 SW 5 5 2 1 W16 2065 W 5 8865 P 02/03-12 55 0 35 37 W 5 1 3013 SW 6 14466 P 02/03-13 55 0 36 35 W 5 1 3962 S 6 20066 P 02/03-14 55 0 37 35 W 3 3 2 1 SW13 4910 S 6 25667 P 02/03-15 55 0 37 36 W 3 1 4267 S 6 22970 P 02/03-16 55 0 35 40 W 3 1 3624 S 7 20273 P 02/03-17 55 0 33 45 NW 2 2 2 1 SW12 2981 S 7 17577 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100201.SUGAR.01/BOU